Juventus vs Lazio Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 7
Juventus
Juventus
versus
Lazio
Lazio
Sunday, 18 October 2026 — 18:45 UTC Juventus Stadium

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 58% 18 bookmakers Model 53%
Probability Distribution Home (53%) / Draw (25%) / Away (22%)
Juventus win (1) 53%
1.70 OddScore Pick
Draw (X) 25%
4.15
Lazio win (2) 22%
5.65
Probability Distribution No — 51% | Yes — 49%
Both teams to score — No 51%
2.06
Both teams to score — Yes 49%
1.95
Probability Distribution Under — 52% | Over 2.5 — 48%
Under 2.5 goals 52%
2.00
Over 2.5 goals 48%
1.97
Both teams to score Yes — 49% vs No — 51% No
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 48% vs Under — 52% Under
Neural edge detected Model: 53% | Market: 58% -8.0% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Juventus host Lazio in Round 7 of Serie A, and the model gives the home side the edge. It puts Juventus at 54.12% to win, the draw at 23.89% and Lazio at 21.99%. The best bookmaker prices of 1.70 for the home side, 4.04 for the draw and 5.71 for the away side point the same way. The table tells a slightly different story. Lazio are second after six games with five wins and a draw, and a goal record of 11:4. Juventus are sixth with three wins, two draws and a loss, and a goal record of 9:5.

The goal markets look balanced. The model gives 50.37% for both teams scoring and 49.63% for not, with bookmaker prices of 1.92 and 1.91. For total goals it puts over 2.5 at 49.55% and under 2.5 at 50.45%. Over 1.5 comes out at 74.28%, over 3.5 at 27.13% and over 4.5 at 15.5%. Both sides have seen both teams score in half of their league games this season. Lazio's matches have gone over 2.5 goals 50% of the time, against 16.67% for Juventus, which suggests Juventus games have been lower scoring.

Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight: Juventus 2:2 Lazio in February 2026, Lazio 1:0 Juventus in October 2025, Lazio 1:1 Juventus in May 2025 and Juventus 1:0 Lazio in October 2024. Both teams have long injury lists. Lazio are missing 17 players, including Mattia Zaccagni, Alessio Romagnoli and Nicolò Rovella. Juventus are missing 11, including Dušan Vlahović, Kenan Yıldız and Manuel Locatelli. The model favours Juventus, but a probability of about 54% still leaves a substantial chance of a draw or a Lazio win.

Juventus Form

Oct 28 Genoa 0 - 2 L
Oct 25 Lecce 2 - 0 W
Oct 22 Rennes 2 - 2 D
Oct 18 Lazio 0 - 3 L
Oct 15 Celta de Vigo 2 - 1 W

Lazio Form

Oct 27 Sassuolo 6 - 2 W
Oct 24 Parma 2 - 1 W
Oct 18 Juventus 3 - 0 W
Oct 11 Monza 3 - 1 W
Sep 19 Venezia 2 - 0 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Feb 8, 2026 Juventus 2 - 2 Lazio Juventus Stadium
Oct 26, 2025 Lazio 1 - 0 Juventus Stadio Olimpico
May 10, 2025 Lazio 1 - 1 Juventus Stadio Olimpico
Oct 19, 2024 Juventus 1 - 0 Lazio Juventus Stadium

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Juventus Lazio
1.4
xG per match
1.64
0.69
xG against
1.24
15.9
Shots per match
14.1
58.7
Possession, %
51.8
11
Goals this season
22
33.33
Both teams scored, %
55.56
22.22
Over 2.5, %
66.67