Juventus vs Napoli Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 10
Juventus
Juventus
versus
Napoli
Napoli
Sunday, 1 November 2026 — 19:45 UTC Juventus Stadium

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 42% 15 bookmakers Model 46%
Probability Distribution Home (46%) / Draw (26%) / Away (28%)
Juventus win (1) 46%
2.33 OddScore Pick
Napoli win (2) 28%
3.42
Draw (X) 26%
3.45
Probability Distribution Yes — 54% | No — 46%
Both teams to score — Yes 54%
1.75
Both teams to score — No 46%
2.05
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 50% | Under — 50%
Over 2.5 goals 50%
2.05
Under 2.5 goals 50%
1.90
Both teams to score Yes — 54% vs No — 46% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 50% vs Under — 50% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 46% | Market: 42% +10.1% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Juventus host Napoli in round 10 of Serie A on 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Both sides have four wins, two draws and three defeats from nine league matches, with Napoli seventh and Juventus eighth. Their scoring records show a clearer difference: Napoli have scored 17 goals and conceded 11, while Juventus have scored 11 and conceded 10. Napoli’s matches have also featured both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals more frequently, with each occurring in 55.56% of their games. Juventus’ corresponding figures are 33.33% and 22.22%.

The model gives Juventus a 46.18% chance of victory, compared with 28.2% for Napoli and 25.61% for a draw. That makes the hosts the most likely individual outcome, although their probability remains below half. The goals forecast is finely balanced around 2.5, with over at 50.32% and under at 49.65%. Both teams scoring is slightly favoured at 53.97%, while the 72.48% probability of under 3.5 goals suggests a more restrained scoring expectation.

Recent meetings offer mixed evidence: Juventus won the latest encounter 3–0, Napoli won the preceding two meetings 2–1, and the earliest listed match finished 0–0. Both teams also have extensive injury lists, including Dušan Vlahović, Kenan Yıldız and Manuel Locatelli for Juventus, and Alex Meret, David Neres and Scott McTominay for Napoli. The overall assessment is a Juventus lean, with considerable uncertainty around both the result and the goal total.

Juventus Form

Oct 28 Genoa 0 - 2 L
Oct 25 Lecce 2 - 0 W
Oct 22 Rennes 2 - 2 D
Oct 18 Lazio 0 - 3 L
Oct 15 Celta de Vigo 2 - 1 W

Napoli Form

Oct 28 Monza 4 - 1 W
Oct 24 Roma 3 - 3 D
Oct 20 Bodø / Glimt 4 - 3 W
Oct 17 Venezia 0 - 1 L
Oct 13 Villarreal 1 - 3 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Jan 25, 2026 Juventus 3 - 0 Napoli Juventus Stadium
Dec 7, 2025 Napoli 2 - 1 Juventus Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Jan 25, 2025 Napoli 2 - 1 Juventus Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Sep 21, 2024 Juventus 0 - 0 Napoli Juventus Stadium

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Juventus Napoli
1.4
xG per match
2
0.69
xG against
1.39
15.9
Shots per match
16.6
58.7
Possession, %
52.8
11
Goals this season
17
33.33
Both teams scored, %
55.56
22.22
Over 2.5, %
55.56