Juventus vs Rennes Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 3
Juventus
Juventus
versus
Rennes
Rennes
Thursday, 22 October 2026 — 16:45 UTC Juventus Stadium

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 65% 19 bookmakers Model 55%
Probability Distribution Home (55%) / Draw (21%) / Away (23%)
Juventus win (1) 55%
1.57 OddScore Pick
Rennes win (2) 23%
7.52
Draw (X) 21%
5.00
Probability Distribution Yes — 55% | No — 45%
Both teams to score — Yes 55%
1.76
Both teams to score — No 45%
2.08
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 57% | Under — 43%
Over 2.5 goals 57%
1.68
Under 2.5 goals 43%
2.50
Both teams to score Yes — 55% vs No — 45% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 57% vs Under — 43% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 55% | Market: 65% -15.2% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Juventus host Rennes in round 3 of the Europa League, kicking off at 16:45 UTC. The model gives the home side the edge: 55.29% for a Juventus win, 21.23% for a draw and 23.49% for a Rennes win. The best available bookmaker odds of 1.57, 4.64 and 6.25 are in the same direction. Juventus have won both of their games this season, scoring 7 and conceding 1. Rennes have a win and a draw from their two matches, with 2 goals scored and 1 conceded.

The model leans towards goals but not strongly. It puts over 1.5 goals at 79.45% and over 2.5 at 57.4%. Over 3.5 is at 34.23% and over 4.5 at 21.35%. Both teams scoring is rated at 54.82%, against 45.18% for at least one side failing to score. Juventus's two games have both gone over 2.5 goals, while Rennes have seen that in one of two. Both teams have scored in half of their matches so far. The sample is only two games each, so these form figures are a thin guide.

Team news may matter for how the match plays out. Juventus have eleven players listed as injured: Andrea Cambiaso, Arkadiusz Milik, Dušan Vlahović, Jeff Ekhator, Jérémie Boga, Juan Cabal, Kamil Grabara, Kenan Yıldız, Manuel Locatelli, Pape Matar Sarr and Weston McKennie. Rennes are without Brice Samba through injury, and Ayanda Sishuba, Gauthier Gallon and Glen Kamara are suspended. Juventus are 13th in the league phase table and Rennes are 28th. Given the absences on the home side, the probabilities above describe a likelihood, not a certain result.

Juventus Form

Oct 28 Genoa 0 - 2 L
Oct 25 Lecce 2 - 0 W
Oct 22 Rennes 2 - 2 D
Oct 18 Lazio 0 - 3 L
Oct 15 Celta de Vigo 2 - 1 W

Rennes Form

Oct 30 Nice 2 - 5 L
Oct 25 Strasbourg 3 - 0 W
Oct 22 Juventus 2 - 2 D
Oct 18 Paris 3 - 4 L
Oct 15 OFI 2 - 1 W

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Juventus Rennes
2.47
xG per match
1.86
1.22
xG against
0.99
15.7
Shots per match
21.3
51.7
Possession, %
58.3
9
Goals this season
4
66.67
Both teams scored, %
66.67
100
Over 2.5, %
66.67