Lazio win (1)
61%
1.50
OddScore Pick
61%
Lazio vs Parma Prediction & Tips
Serie A
• Round 8
Lazio
Parma
Saturday, 24 October 2026 — 18:45 UTC
Stadio Olimpico
Stadio Olimpico
AI Prediction Markets
Market average
66%
17 bookmakers
Model
61%
61%
Probability Distribution
Home (61%) / Draw (21%) / Away (17%)
Draw (X)
21%
4.53
Parma win (2)
17%
8.20
Probability Distribution
No — 52% | Yes — 48%
Both teams to score — No
52%
1.80
Both teams to score — Yes
48%
2.05
Probability Distribution
Over 2.5 — 53% | Under — 47%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.96
Under 2.5 goals
47%
1.99
No
Over
✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown
Our model leans towards a Lazio win in this fixture, with a confidence of 61%. Lazio come into this one having taken 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.64 expected goals for and 1.24 against.
Parma arrive with 1-1-3 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 3 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. At the current price of 1.50 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.
Lazio Form
Oct 27
Sassuolo
6 - 2
W
Oct 24
Parma
2 - 1
W
Oct 18
Juventus
3 - 0
W
Oct 11
Monza
3 - 1
W
Sep 19
Venezia
2 - 0
W
Parma Form
Oct 28
Udinese
0 - 0
D
Oct 24
Lazio
1 - 2
L
Oct 19
Torino
0 - 3
L
Oct 10
Inter
0 - 3
L
Sep 20
Genoa
2 - 1
W
Head to Head History
DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Apr 4, 2026
Lazio
1 - 1
Parma
Stadio Olimpico
Dec 13, 2025
Parma
0 - 1
Lazio
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Apr 28, 2025
Lazio
2 - 2
Parma
Stadio Olimpico
Dec 1, 2024
Parma
3 - 1
Lazio
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Key Stats & Team Metrics
Lazio
Parma
1.64
xG per match
0.95
1.24
xG against
1.64
14.1
Shots per match
10.3
51.8
Possession, %
42.1
22
Goals this season
5
55.56
Both teams scored, %
44.44
66.67
Over 2.5, %
55.56