Lens vs Como Prediction & Tips

Champions League • Round 4

Lens

Como

Wednesday, 4 November 2026 — 20:00 UTC

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 43% 14 bookmakers Model 43%

Probability Distribution Home (35%) / Draw (22%) / Away (43%)

Como win (2) 43%

2.35 OddScore Pick

Lens win (1) 35%

3.05

Draw (X) 22%

4.06

Probability Distribution Yes — 64% | No — 36%

Both teams to score — Yes 64%

1.50

Both teams to score — No 36%

2.70

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 65% | Under — 35%

Over 2.5 goals 65%

1.54

Under 2.5 goals 35%

2.62

Both teams to score Yes — 64% vs No — 36% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 65% vs Under — 35% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 43% | Market: 43% +0.8% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Como win in this fixture, with a confidence of 43%. Lens come into this one having taken 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.7 expected goals for and 1.92 against.

Como arrive with 4-0-1 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 65%. At the current price of 2.35 that leaves a 0.8% edge over the market.

Lens Form

Oct 30 LOSC Lille 0 - 1 L

Oct 24 Paris 2 - 1 W

Oct 21 Club Brugge 0 - 3 L

Oct 17 Troyes 3 - 1 W

Oct 13 Sporting CP 0 - 2 L

Como Form

Oct 27 Torino 3 - 1 W

Oct 24 Sassuolo 2 - 0 W

Oct 21 Manchester United 4 - 1 W

Oct 18 Fiorentina 3 - 1 W

Oct 14 Feyenoord 2 - 3 L

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Lens Como

1.7

xG per match

1.35

1.92

xG against

0.88

Shots per match

Possession, %

52.3

Goals this season

33.33

Both teams scored, %

100

66.67

Over 2.5, %

100