Lens vs Olympique Marseille Prediction & Tips

Ligue 1 • Round 10
Lens
Lens
versus
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
Sunday, 8 November 2026 — 19:45 UTC Stade Bollaert-Delelis

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 46% 10 bookmakers Model 43%
Probability Distribution Home (43%) / Draw (22%) / Away (35%)
Lens win (1) 43%
2.11 OddScore Pick
Olympique Marseille win (2) 35%
3.30
Draw (X) 22%
4.16
Probability Distribution Yes — 66% | No — 34%
Both teams to score — Yes 66%
1.44
Both teams to score — No 34%
2.62
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 67% | Under — 33%
Over 2.5 goals 67%
1.50
Under 2.5 goals 33%
2.62
Both teams to score Yes — 66% vs No — 34% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 67% vs Under — 33% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 43% | Market: 46% -4.7% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Lens win in this fixture, with a confidence of 43%. Lens come into this one having taken 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.59 expected goals for and 1.46 against.

Olympique Marseille arrive with 3-0-2 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 3 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 67%. At the current price of 2.11 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Lens Form

Oct 30 LOSC Lille 0 - 1 L
Oct 24 Paris 2 - 1 W
Oct 21 Club Brugge 0 - 3 L
Oct 17 Troyes 3 - 1 W
Oct 13 Sporting CP 0 - 2 L

Olympique Marseille Form

Oct 25 Le Havre 4 - 3 W
Oct 22 Sturm Graz 0 - 1 L
Oct 18 Angers SCO 5 - 2 W
Oct 15 Olympiacos F.C. 0 - 1 L
Oct 11 Troyes 2 - 0 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Jan 24, 2026 Olympique Marseille 3 - 1 Lens Stade Vélodrome
Oct 25, 2025 Lens 2 - 1 Olympique Marseille Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Mar 8, 2025 Olympique Marseille 0 - 1 Lens Stade Vélodrome
Nov 23, 2024 Lens 1 - 3 Olympique Marseille Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Lens Olympique Marseille
1.59
xG per match
1.7
1.46
xG against
1.99
12.9
Shots per match
12.9
50.1
Possession, %
57
16
Goals this season
18
77.78
Both teams scored, %
50
77.78
Over 2.5, %
62.5