Lens vs Paris Prediction & Tips

Ligue 1 • Round 8

Lens

Paris

Saturday, 24 October 2026 — 18:45 UTC

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 40% 17 bookmakers Model 49%

Probability Distribution Home (49%) / Draw (24%) / Away (27%)

Lens win (1) 49%

2.66 OddScore Pick

Paris win (2) 27%

3.00

Draw (X) 24%

3.75

Probability Distribution Yes — 61% | No — 39%

Both teams to score — Yes 61%

1.53

Both teams to score — No 39%

2.63

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 60% | Under — 40%

Over 2.5 goals 60%

1.70

Under 2.5 goals 40%

2.36

Both teams to score Yes — 61% vs No — 39% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 60% vs Under — 40% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 49% | Market: 40% +24.0% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Lens win in this fixture, with a confidence of 49%. Lens come into this one having taken 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.59 expected goals for and 1.46 against.

Paris arrive with 2-1-2 across their own last 5. The last 2 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 1 time. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%. At the current price of 2.66 that leaves a 24% edge over the market.

Lens Form

Oct 30 LOSC Lille 0 - 1 L

Oct 24 Paris 2 - 1 W

Oct 21 Club Brugge 0 - 3 L

Oct 17 Troyes 3 - 1 W

Oct 13 Sporting CP 0 - 2 L

Paris Form

Oct 24 Lens 1 - 2 L

Oct 18 Rennes 4 - 3 W

Oct 10 Lorient 0 - 1 L

Sep 19 Strasbourg 2 - 1 W

Sep 12 Olympique Lyonnais 0 - 0 D

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Feb 14, 2026 Paris 0 - 5 Lens Stade Jean Bouin

Oct 19, 2025 Lens 2 - 1 Paris Stade Bollaert-Delelis

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Lens Paris

1.59

xG per match

1.61

1.46

xG against

1.05

12.9

Shots per match

13.1

50.1

Possession, %

51.1

Goals this season

77.78

Both teams scored, %

77.78

Over 2.5, %

62.5