Levante vs Atlético de Madrid Prediction & Tips

La Liga • Round 11

Levante

Atlético de Madrid

Saturday, 31 October 2026 — 13:00 UTC

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 62% 17 bookmakers Model 50%

Probability Distribution Home (25%) / Draw (25%) / Away (50%)

Atlético de Madrid win (2) 50%

1.60 OddScore Pick

Draw (X) 25%

5.06

Levante win (1) 25%

5.75

Probability Distribution Yes — 58% | No — 42%

Both teams to score — Yes 58%

1.62

Both teams to score — No 42%

2.25

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 56% | Under — 44%

Over 2.5 goals 56%

1.54

Under 2.5 goals 44%

2.58

Both teams to score Yes — 58% vs No — 42% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 56% vs Under — 44% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 50% | Market: 62% -18.4% Edge

Bet now

⇄ Why the estimates differ

Both estimates favour Atlético, but the market gives their victory greater weight. Atlético’s eight wins from ten league matches, second place and 20–8 goal record contrast with Levante’s two wins, four defeats and 16–19 record. Atlético are also unbeaten in the supplied last five, with four wins, while Levante have one win. Those results could support a stronger preference for the visitors.

The expected-goals figures show a narrower attacking difference, although Atlético also concede less on that measure. Levante’s two listed home games produced a win and a draw, and the latest head-to-head finished goalless, offering plausible counterweights to Atlético’s stronger overall results. Both teams have injured players, but their impact cannot be assessed from this data, and line-ups are unannounced. These are possible sources of differing emphasis; the supplied information does not establish how either estimate weights them.

Gap of 11.4 percentage points.

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Levante face Atlético de Madrid in La Liga’s 11th round, with the match scheduled for 31 October 2026 at 13:00 UTC. Levante are 14th after 10 matches, with two wins, four draws and four defeats. They have scored 16 goals and conceded 19, while both teams have scored in 70% of their matches and over 2.5 goals has occurred in 70%. Atlético are second, with eight wins, one draw and one defeat. Their record is 20 goals scored and eight conceded, with both teams scoring in 40% of their matches and over 2.5 goals also recorded in 70%.

The model gives Atlético a 50.35% probability of winning, compared with 24.69% for Levante and 24.96% for a draw. It also assigns a 58.11% probability to both teams scoring and a 55.74% probability of over 2.5 goals. The available bookmaker odds reflect Atlético’s stronger position at 1.65 for an away win, compared with 5.25 for a Levante victory and 4.77 for the draw. The recent head-to-head meetings produced a 0:0 draw at Levante and a 3:1 Atlético home win. Levante will be without Álex Primo, Hugo Sotelo, Karl Etta Eyong and Unai Elgezabal, while Atlético are missing Alexander Sørloth, Cristian Romero, Javi Galán, Koke and Pablo Barrios.

Levante Form

Oct 25 Real Sociedad 1 - 2 L

Oct 21 Athletic Club 3 - 1 W

Oct 16 Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 1 D

Oct 12 Sevilla 3 - 3 D

Sep 20 Villarreal 1 - 3 L

Atlético de Madrid Form

Oct 24 Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 0 W

Oct 20 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 D

Oct 17 Espanyol 1 - 0 W

Oct 13 Manchester United 2 - 0 W

Oct 10 Deportivo Alavés 2 - 1 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Jan 31, 2026 Levante 0 - 0 Atlético de Madrid Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Nov 8, 2025 Atlético de Madrid 3 - 1 Levante Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Bet now

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Levante Atlético de Madrid

1.29

xG per match

1.77

1.93

xG against

1.07

11.3

Shots per match

42.7

Possession, %

59.6

Goals this season

Both teams scored, %

Over 2.5, %