Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 4

Levski Sofia

Jagiellonia Białystok

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 17:45 UTC

Vivacom Arena - Georgi Asparuhov

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 47% 14 bookmakers Model 45%

Probability Distribution Home (45%) / Draw (22%) / Away (33%)

Levski Sofia win (1) 45%

2.06 OddScore Pick

Jagiellonia Białystok win (2) 33%

3.79

Draw (X) 22%

3.75

Probability Distribution Yes — 59% | No — 41%

Both teams to score — Yes 59%

1.70

Both teams to score — No 41%

2.20

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 61% | Under — 39%

Over 2.5 goals 61%

1.83

Under 2.5 goals 39%

2.06

Both teams to score Yes — 59% vs No — 41% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 61% vs Under — 39% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 45% | Market: 47% -4.3% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Levski Sofia win in this fixture, with a confidence of 45%. Levski Sofia come into this one having taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.09 expected goals for and 1.31 against.

Jagiellonia Białystok arrive with 3-0-2 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 61%. At the current price of 2.06 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Levski Sofia Form

Oct 22 Viktoria Plzeň 2 - 1 W

Oct 15 NEC Nijmegen 1 - 1 D

Sep 17 Salzburg 0 - 1 L

Aug 26 AEK Athens 0 - 4 L

Aug 18 AEK Athens 0 - 0 D

Jagiellonia Białystok Form

Oct 22 Anderlecht 0 - 3 L

Oct 15 Ararat-Armenia 3 - 1 W

Sep 16 Olympiacos F.C. 1 - 2 L

Aug 27 FC Iberia 1999 2 - 1 W

Aug 20 FC Iberia 1999 4 - 0 W

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Levski Sofia Jagiellonia Białystok

1.09

xG per match

0.92

1.31

xG against

1.8

9.3

Shots per match

10.2

49.7

Possession, %

43.5

Goals this season

66.67

Both teams scored, %

71.43

33.33

Over 2.5, %

85.71