Lillestrøm vs Viktoria Plzeň Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 4

Lillestrøm

Viktoria Plzeň

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 17:45 UTC

Åråsen Stadion

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 40% 14 bookmakers Model 42%

Probability Distribution Home (36%) / Draw (23%) / Away (42%)

Viktoria Plzeň win (2) 42%

2.42 OddScore Pick

Lillestrøm win (1) 36%

2.80

Draw (X) 23%

3.86

Probability Distribution Yes — 62% | No — 38%

Both teams to score — Yes 62%

1.50

Both teams to score — No 38%

2.63

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 64% | Under — 36%

Over 2.5 goals 64%

1.60

Under 2.5 goals 36%

2.46

Both teams to score Yes — 62% vs No — 38% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 64% vs Under — 36% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 42% | Market: 40% +3.9% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Viktoria Plzeň win in this fixture, with a confidence of 42%. Lillestrøm come into this one having taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.77 expected goals for and 1.76 against.

Viktoria Plzeň arrive with 1-0-4 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. At the current price of 2.42 that leaves a 3.9% edge over the market.

Lillestrøm Form

Oct 22 Real Sociedad 0 - 6 L

Oct 15 Sparta Praha 1 - 1 D

Sep 17 Torreense 1 - 2 L

Aug 27 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 - 1 W

Aug 20 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 - 0 D

Viktoria Plzeň Form

Oct 22 Levski Sofia 1 - 2 L

Oct 15 Ferencvárosi 1 - 2 L

Sep 17 Union Saint-Gilloise 0 - 3 L

Aug 27 Crvena Zvezda 5 - 1 W

Aug 20 Crvena Zvezda 0 - 3 L

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Lillestrøm Viktoria Plzeň

1.77

xG per match

2.66

1.76

xG against

1.6

12.2

Shots per match

18.4

52.8

Possession, %

Goals this season

Both teams scored, %

Over 2.5, %

100