Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split Prediction & Tips

Europa Conference League • Round 3
Lincoln Red Imps
Lincoln Red Imps
versus
Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split
Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 17:45 UTC Europa Point Stadium

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 71% 8 bookmakers Model 56%
Probability Distribution Home (22%) / Draw (22%) / Away (56%)
Hajduk Split win (2) 56%
1.33 OddScore Pick
Lincoln Red Imps win (1) 22%
10.50
Draw (X) 22%
5.27
Probability Distribution Yes — 55% | No — 45%
Both teams to score — Yes 55%
2.20
Both teams to score — No 45%
1.73
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 56% | Under — 44%
Over 2.5 goals 56%
1.86
Under 2.5 goals 44%
2.00
Both teams to score Yes — 55% vs No — 45% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 56% vs Under — 44% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 56% | Market: 71% -21.8% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Hajduk Split win in this fixture, with a confidence of 56%. Lincoln Red Imps come into this one having taken 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 0.47 expected goals for and 3.5 against.

Hajduk Split arrive with 4-1-0 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. At the current price of 1.33 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Lincoln Red Imps Form

Oct 22 FC Twente 1 - 4 L
Oct 15 Brann 1 - 2 L
Aug 27 Larne 3 - 0 W
Aug 20 Larne 0 - 2 L
Aug 13 Omonia Nicosia 0 - 1 L

Hajduk Split Form

Oct 22 Thun 1 - 0 W
Oct 15 Ajax 2 - 1 W
Aug 27 Raków Częstochowa 3 - 2 W
Aug 20 Raków Częstochowa 2 - 2 D
Aug 13 Žalgiris 4 - 0 W

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Lincoln Red Imps Hajduk Split
0.47
xG per match
1.38
3.5
xG against
1.9
5.7
Shots per match
13
47
Possession, %
48.8
5
Goals this season
17
50
Both teams scored, %
66.67
75
Over 2.5, %
83.33