Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction & Tips

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Liverpool host Arsenal in round nine of the Premier League on 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC. Arsenal enter the match second after seven wins and one defeat in eight games, scoring 13 goals and conceding five. Liverpool are fourth, with four wins, three draws and one defeat, alongside 11 goals scored and eight conceded. The model makes Arsenal the most likely winners at 47%, compared with 28.6% for Liverpool and 24.38% for a draw. The best available odds also favour Arsenal, at 2.44 against Liverpool’s 3.1, with the draw at 3.53.

The goals projections suggest a more open contest than either side’s both-teams-to-score record this season: the model assigns that outcome a 59.45% probability, while Liverpool’s rate is 37.5% and Arsenal’s is 25%. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 50% of their matches; the model puts that probability at 58.19% here. However, under 3.5 goals remains more likely at 65.19%. The four listed meetings produced three draws and a Liverpool win, ranging from a goalless draw to two 2–2 results.

Both sides have substantial availability concerns. Liverpool are missing Alexander Isak, Cody Gakpo and Hugo Ekitiké through injury, while Federico Chiesa, Ryan Gravenberch and Wataru Endo are suspended. Arsenal’s injured players include Kai Havertz, William Saliba and Jurriën Timber. Arsenal’s stronger season record supports their status as favourites, but a 47% win probability leaves considerable uncertainty.