Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction & Tips

Premier League • Round 8
Liverpool
Liverpool
versus
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
Sunday, 25 October 2026 — 14:00 UTC Anfield

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 47% 17 bookmakers Model 44%
Probability Distribution Home (44%) / Draw (24%) / Away (32%)
Liverpool win (1) 44%
2.20 OddScore Pick
Brighton & Hove Albion win (2) 32%
3.80
Draw (X) 24%
3.90
Probability Distribution Yes — 60% | No — 40%
Both teams to score — Yes 60%
1.53
Both teams to score — No 40%
2.63
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 60% | Under — 40%
Over 2.5 goals 60%
1.64
Under 2.5 goals 40%
2.46
Both teams to score Yes — 60% vs No — 40% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 60% vs Under — 40% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 44% | Market: 47% -5.9% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Liverpool win in this fixture, with a confidence of 44%. Liverpool come into this one having taken 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.61 expected goals for and 1.37 against.

Brighton & Hove Albion arrive with 3-1-1 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 3 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 60%. At the current price of 2.20 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Liverpool Form

Oct 25 Brighton & Hove Albion 2 - 0 W
Oct 20 Villarreal 4 - 3 W
Oct 17 Brentford 2 - 1 W
Oct 14 LASK 6 - 3 W
Oct 11 Manchester City 0 - 3 L

Brighton & Hove Albion Form

Oct 25 Liverpool 0 - 2 L
Oct 22 Jablonec 0 - 0 D
Oct 18 Crystal Palace 5 - 0 W
Oct 15 Kauno Žalgiris 4 - 0 W
Oct 10 Sunderland 2 - 0 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Mar 21, 2026 Brighton & Hove Albion 2 - 1 Liverpool The American Express Community Stadium
Dec 13, 2025 Liverpool 2 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion Anfield
May 19, 2025 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 - 2 Liverpool The American Express Community Stadium
Nov 2, 2024 Liverpool 2 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion Anfield

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Liverpool Brighton & Hove Albion
1.61
xG per match
2
1.37
xG against
1.4
15.4
Shots per match
17.8
53.4
Possession, %
60.3
11
Goals this season
23
37.5
Both teams scored, %
25
50
Over 2.5, %
62.5