Lorient vs Brest Prediction & Tips

Ligue 1 • Round 9
Lorient
Lorient
versus
Brest
Brest
Monday, 2 November 2026 — 19:45 UTC Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 38% 15 bookmakers Model 46%
Probability Distribution Home (46%) / Draw (27%) / Away (28%)
Lorient win (1) 46%
2.56 OddScore Pick
Brest win (2) 28%
3.10
Draw (X) 27%
3.39
Probability Distribution Yes — 52% | No — 48%
Both teams to score — Yes 52%
1.80
Both teams to score — No 48%
2.00
Probability Distribution Under — 52% | Over 2.5 — 48%
Under 2.5 goals 52%
1.83
Over 2.5 goals 48%
2.14
Both teams to score Yes — 52% vs No — 48% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 48% vs Under — 52% Under
Neural edge detected Model: 46% | Market: 38% +18.4% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Lorient win in this fixture, with a confidence of 46%. Lorient come into this one having taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.11 expected goals for and 1.05 against.

Brest arrive with 1-1-3 across their own last 5. The last 2 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 1 time. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%. At the current price of 2.56 that leaves a 18.4% edge over the market.

Lorient Form

Oct 25 Angers SCO 0 - 0 D
Oct 18 Monaco 1 - 0 W
Oct 10 Paris 1 - 0 W
Sep 19 Le Mans 1 - 2 L
Sep 12 Toulouse 2 - 2 D

Brest Form

Oct 23 Nice 1 - 2 L
Oct 17 LOSC Lille 1 - 1 D
Oct 10 Angers SCO 5 - 1 W
Sep 20 Auxerre 1 - 2 L
Sep 13 Paris Saint Germain 0 - 1 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Feb 7, 2026 Brest 2 - 0 Lorient Stade Francis-Le Ble
Oct 19, 2025 Lorient 3 - 3 Brest Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Lorient Brest
1.11
xG per match
1.87
1.05
xG against
1.19
9.9
Shots per match
16.9
46.8
Possession, %
46.4
7
Goals this season
14
37.5
Both teams scored, %
87.5
37.5
Over 2.5, %
75