LOSC Lille vs Le Havre Prediction & Tips

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

LOSC Lille host Le Havre in round 6 of Ligue 1, with kick-off at 15:15 UTC on 10 October 2026. The model gives Lille a 55.04% chance of winning, with the draw at 24.93% and an away win at 20.04%. The bookmaker prices point the same way, with the best available odds at 1.48 for the home side, 5 for the draw and 7.5 for Le Havre. These are probabilities, not certainties, and roughly one outcome in two does not go to the favourite.

The form tables support that lean. Lille sit fourth after five matches, with three wins, one draw and one defeat, and a goal record of 8:4. Le Havre are 18th, still without a win, with two draws and three defeats and a goal record of 4:7. Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in 40% of their matches, while both teams have scored in 40% of Lille's games and 60% of Le Havre's. Both squads have absentees. Lille are without Hamza Igamane, Marc-Aurèle Caillard, Nabil Bentaleb and Samuel Umtiti through injury, and Matías Fernández-Pardo is suspended. Le Havre have six players injured: Étienne Youté Kinkoué, Felix Mambimbi, Fodé Ballo-Touré, Lionel Mpasi-Nzau, Samuel Grandsir and Stephan Zagadou.

On goals, the model is close to evenly split. It puts over 2.5 goals at 48.03% and under 2.5 at 51.97%. Both teams scoring is rated at 48.3%, against 51.7% for at least one side failing to score. Over 1.5 goals comes in at 72.14%, while over 3.5 is at 26.02%. The recent head-to-head is more balanced than the table positions suggest. Lille won 3:0 away in September 2024, lost 1:2 at home in February 2025, won 1:0 away in November 2025, and drew 1:1 at home in May 2026. Overall, the model sees Lille as the more likely winner, but with a clear chance of a draw and a smaller chance of an away result.