Málaga vs Racing Santander Prediction & Tips

La Liga • Round 12

Málaga

Racing Santander

Saturday, 7 November 2026 — 13:00 UTC

Estadio La Rosaleda

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 40% 8 bookmakers Model 47%

Probability Distribution Home (47%) / Draw (26%) / Away (28%)

Málaga win (1) 47%

2.47 OddScore Pick

Racing Santander win (2) 28%

2.91

Draw (X) 26%

3.72

Probability Distribution Yes — 57% | No — 43%

Both teams to score — Yes 57%

1.53

Both teams to score — No 43%

2.37

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 54% | Under — 46%

Over 2.5 goals 54%

1.66

Under 2.5 goals 46%

2.20

Both teams to score Yes — 57% vs No — 43% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 54% vs Under — 46% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 47% | Market: 40% +17.7% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Málaga win in this fixture, with a confidence of 47%. Málaga come into this one having taken 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 0.96 expected goals for and 1.83 against.

Racing Santander arrive with 1-1-3 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. At the current price of 2.47 that leaves a 17.7% edge over the market.

Málaga Form

Oct 23 Deportivo Alavés 1 - 1 D

Oct 18 Real Sociedad 2 - 5 L

Oct 9 Espanyol 1 - 1 D

Sep 20 Getafe 0 - 1 L

Sep 17 Villarreal 1 - 3 L

Racing Santander Form

Oct 24 Espanyol 2 - 1 W

Oct 18 Osasuna 0 - 2 L

Oct 11 Valencia 2 - 2 D

Sep 19 Celta de Vigo 0 - 5 L

Sep 16 FC Barcelona 2 - 7 L

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Málaga Racing Santander

0.96

xG per match

1.34

1.83

xG against

2.14

10.9

Shots per match

12.4

50.7

Possession, %

50.1

Goals this season

Both teams scored, %

Over 2.5, %