Monaco vs LOSC Lille Prediction & Tips

Ligue 1 • Round 8
Monaco
Monaco
versus
LOSC Lille
LOSC Lille
Sunday, 25 October 2026 — 14:00 UTC Stade Louis II.

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 48% 17 bookmakers Model 46%
Probability Distribution Home (46%) / Draw (24%) / Away (29%)
Monaco win (1) 46%
2.04 OddScore Pick
LOSC Lille win (2) 29%
4.38
Draw (X) 24%
3.65
Probability Distribution Yes — 61% | No — 39%
Both teams to score — Yes 61%
1.66
Both teams to score — No 39%
2.25
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 60% | Under — 40%
Over 2.5 goals 60%
1.86
Under 2.5 goals 40%
2.17
Both teams to score Yes — 61% vs No — 39% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 60% vs Under — 40% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 46% | Market: 48% -4.1% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Monaco win in this fixture, with a confidence of 46%. Monaco come into this one having taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.26 expected goals for and 1.36 against.

LOSC Lille arrive with 1-2-2 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 1 time. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%. At the current price of 2.04 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Monaco Form

Oct 25 LOSC Lille 1 - 1 D
Oct 22 SC Freiburg 3 - 0 W
Oct 18 Lorient 0 - 1 L
Oct 15 CSKA Sofia 2 - 1 W
Oct 10 Toulouse 2 - 2 D

LOSC Lille Form

Oct 30 Lens 1 - 0 W
Oct 25 Monaco 1 - 1 D
Oct 21 Galatasaray 2 - 4 L
Oct 17 Brest 1 - 1 D
Oct 13 Arsenal 0 - 3 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
May 10, 2026 Monaco 0 - 1 LOSC Lille Stade Louis II.
Aug 24, 2025 LOSC Lille 1 - 0 Monaco Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Feb 22, 2025 LOSC Lille 2 - 1 Monaco Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Oct 18, 2024 Monaco 0 - 0 LOSC Lille Stade Louis II.

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Monaco LOSC Lille
1.26
xG per match
1.21
1.36
xG against
1.44
12.8
Shots per match
11.8
50.3
Possession, %
50.1
11
Goals this season
12
62.5
Both teams scored, %
44.44
37.5
Over 2.5, %
22.22