Monza vs Atalanta Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 11

Monza

Atalanta

Sunday, 8 November 2026 — 14:00 UTC

U-Power Stadium

AI Prediction Markets

Model 39%

Probability Distribution Home (39%) / Draw (26%) / Away (35%)

Monza win (1) 39%

— OddScore Pick

Atalanta win (2) 35%

—

Draw (X) 26%

—

Probability Distribution Yes — 62% | No — 38%

Both teams to score — Yes 62%

—

Both teams to score — No 38%

—

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 58% | Under — 42%

Over 2.5 goals 58%

—

Under 2.5 goals 42%

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Both teams to score Yes — 62% vs No — 38% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 58% vs Under — 42% Over

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Monza win in this fixture, with a confidence of 39%. Monza come into this one having taken 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.4 expected goals for and 1.48 against.

Atalanta arrive with 1-2-2 across their own last 5. The last 2 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 0 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

Monza Form

Oct 28 Napoli 1 - 4 L

Oct 23 Torino 2 - 3 L

Oct 19 Cagliari 4 - 0 W

Oct 11 Lazio 1 - 3 L

Sep 18 Sassuolo 2 - 1 W

Atalanta Form

Oct 29 Fiorentina 2 - 2 D

Oct 25 Frosinone 4 - 4 D

Oct 22 Ajax 0 - 2 L

Oct 18 AC Milan 2 - 3 L

Oct 15 Pafos FC 3 - 1 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

May 4, 2025 Monza 0 - 4 Atalanta U-Power Stadium

Oct 30, 2024 Atalanta 2 - 0 Monza Gewiss Stadium

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Monza Atalanta

1.4

xG per match

1.46

1.48

xG against

2.01

13.2

Shots per match

13.9

43.7

Possession, %

46.3

Goals this season

88.89

Both teams scored, %

77.78

88.89

Over 2.5, %

77.78