Napoli vs Lazio Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 11

Napoli

Lazio

Sunday, 8 November 2026 — 11:30 UTC

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

AI Prediction Markets

Model 41%

Probability Distribution Home (41%) / Draw (27%) / Away (32%)

Napoli win (1) 41%

— OddScore Pick

Lazio win (2) 32%

—

Draw (X) 27%

—

Probability Distribution Yes — 58% | No — 42%

Both teams to score — Yes 58%

—

Both teams to score — No 42%

—

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 55% | Under — 45%

Over 2.5 goals 55%

—

Under 2.5 goals 45%

—

Both teams to score Yes — 58% vs No — 42% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 55% vs Under — 45% Over

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Napoli win in this fixture, with a confidence of 41%. Napoli come into this one having taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 2 expected goals for and 1.39 against.

Lazio arrive with 5-0-0 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 1 time. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

Napoli Form

Oct 28 Monza 4 - 1 W

Oct 24 Roma 3 - 3 D

Oct 20 Bodø / Glimt 4 - 3 W

Oct 17 Venezia 0 - 1 L

Oct 13 Villarreal 1 - 3 L

Lazio Form

Oct 27 Sassuolo 6 - 2 W

Oct 24 Parma 2 - 1 W

Oct 18 Juventus 3 - 0 W

Oct 11 Monza 3 - 1 W

Sep 19 Venezia 2 - 0 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Apr 18, 2026 Napoli 0 - 2 Lazio Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Jan 4, 2026 Lazio 0 - 2 Napoli Stadio Olimpico

Feb 15, 2025 Lazio 2 - 2 Napoli Stadio Olimpico

Dec 8, 2024 Napoli 0 - 1 Lazio Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Napoli Lazio

xG per match

1.64

1.39

xG against

1.24

16.6

Shots per match

14.1

52.8

Possession, %

51.8

Goals this season

55.56

Both teams scored, %

55.56

Over 2.5, %

66.67