Napoli win (1)
43%
2.85
OddScore Pick
43%
Napoli vs Roma Prediction & Tips
Serie A
• Round 8
Napoli
Roma
Saturday, 24 October 2026 — 16:00 UTC
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
AI Prediction Markets
Market average
36%
17 bookmakers
Model
43%
43%
Probability Distribution
Home (43%) / Draw (26%) / Away (31%)
Roma win (2)
31%
2.80
Draw (X)
26%
3.50
Probability Distribution
Yes — 57% | No — 43%
Both teams to score — Yes
57%
1.67
Both teams to score — No
43%
2.50
Probability Distribution
Over 2.5 — 56% | Under — 44%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.93
Under 2.5 goals
44%
2.12
Yes
Over
✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown
Our model leans towards a Napoli win in this fixture, with a confidence of 43%. Napoli come into this one having taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 2 expected goals for and 1.39 against.
Roma arrive with 3-1-1 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 2 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. At the current price of 2.85 that leaves a 22.9% edge over the market.
Napoli Form
Oct 28
Monza
4 - 1
W
Oct 24
Roma
3 - 3
D
Oct 20
Bodø / Glimt
4 - 3
W
Oct 17
Venezia
0 - 1
L
Oct 13
Villarreal
1 - 3
L
Roma Form
Oct 27
Cagliari
4 - 2
W
Oct 24
Napoli
3 - 3
D
Oct 20
Slovan Bratislava
4 - 0
W
Oct 17
Genoa
2 - 0
W
Oct 14
Real Madrid
3 - 4
L
Head to Head History
DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Feb 15, 2026
Napoli
2 - 2
Roma
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Nov 30, 2025
Roma
0 - 1
Napoli
Stadio Olimpico
Feb 2, 2025
Roma
1 - 1
Napoli
Stadio Olimpico
Nov 24, 2024
Napoli
1 - 0
Roma
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Key Stats & Team Metrics
Napoli
Roma
2
xG per match
2.26
1.39
xG against
1.29
16.6
Shots per match
19
52.8
Possession, %
56.8
17
Goals this season
23
55.56
Both teams scored, %
44.44
55.56
Over 2.5, %
66.67