NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 4

NEC Nijmegen

Omonia Nicosia

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 17:45 UTC

Goffertstadion

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 53% 13 bookmakers Model 50%

Probability Distribution Home (50%) / Draw (24%) / Away (27%)

NEC Nijmegen win (1) 50%

1.81 OddScore Pick

Omonia Nicosia win (2) 27%

4.26

Draw (X) 24%

4.26

Probability Distribution Yes — 56% | No — 44%

Both teams to score — Yes 56%

1.57

Both teams to score — No 44%

2.45

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 56% | Under — 44%

Over 2.5 goals 56%

1.58

Under 2.5 goals 44%

2.51

Both teams to score Yes — 56% vs No — 44% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 56% vs Under — 44% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 50% | Market: 53% -7.1% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a NEC Nijmegen win in this fixture, with a confidence of 50%. NEC Nijmegen come into this one having taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.21 expected goals for and 2.48 against.

Omonia Nicosia arrive with 3-0-2 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. At the current price of 1.81 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

NEC Nijmegen Form

Oct 22 Dinamo Zagreb 4 - 2 W

Oct 15 Levski Sofia 1 - 1 D

Sep 17 Juventus 0 - 5 L

Aug 25 Bodø / Glimt 0 - 3 L

Aug 19 Bodø / Glimt 1 - 3 L

Omonia Nicosia Form

Oct 22 Benfica 1 - 4 L

Oct 15 Celje 3 - 0 W

Sep 16 Celta de Vigo 1 - 0 W

Aug 27 Sint-Truiden 4 - 2 W

Aug 20 Sint-Truiden 0 - 1 L

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

NEC Nijmegen Omonia Nicosia

1.21

xG per match

1.21

2.48

xG against

1.93

14.7

Shots per match

12.3

Possession, %

Goals this season

66.67

Both teams scored, %

42.86

66.67

Over 2.5, %

42.86