Newcastle United win (1)
42%
2.38
OddScore Pick
42%
Newcastle United vs Everton Prediction & Tips
Premier League
• Round 9
Newcastle United
Everton
Monday, 2 November 2026 — 20:00 UTC
St. James' Park
St. James' Park
AI Prediction Markets
Market average
41%
15 bookmakers
Model
42%
42%
Probability Distribution
Home (42%) / Draw (26%) / Away (32%)
Everton win (2)
32%
3.05
Draw (X)
26%
3.75
Probability Distribution
Yes — 53% | No — 47%
Both teams to score — Yes
53%
1.57
Both teams to score — No
47%
2.55
Probability Distribution
Under — 50% | Over 2.5 — 50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
2.22
Over 2.5 goals
50%
1.77
Yes
Under
✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown
Our model leans towards a Newcastle United win in this fixture, with a confidence of 42%. Newcastle United come into this one having taken 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.21 expected goals for and 1.88 against.
Everton arrive with 1-2-2 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 2 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. At the current price of 2.38 that leaves a 1.6% edge over the market.
Newcastle United Form
Oct 25
Crystal Palace
2 - 0
W
Oct 17
Aston Villa
0 - 1
L
Oct 12
Coventry City
1 - 4
L
Sep 19
Hull City
2 - 1
W
Sep 14
Leeds United
1 - 4
L
Everton Form
Oct 24
Arsenal
0 - 2
L
Oct 17
Chelsea
0 - 2
L
Oct 11
Hull City
2 - 2
D
Sep 19
Ipswich Town
1 - 0
W
Sep 12
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 0
D
Head to Head History
DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Feb 28, 2026
Newcastle United
2 - 3
Everton
St. James' Park
Nov 29, 2025
Everton
1 - 4
Newcastle United
Hill Dickinson Stadium
May 25, 2025
Newcastle United
0 - 1
Everton
St. James' Park
Oct 5, 2024
Everton
0 - 0
Newcastle United
Goodison Park
Key Stats & Team Metrics
Newcastle United
Everton
1.21
xG per match
1.18
1.88
xG against
1.51
11.9
Shots per match
13.6
50.8
Possession, %
46.5
12
Goals this season
8
62.5
Both teams scored, %
37.5
62.5
Over 2.5, %
25