Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Prediction & Tips

Premier League • Round 10

Nottingham Forest

Manchester City

Saturday, 7 November 2026 — 17:30 UTC

The City Ground

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 57% 11 bookmakers Model 53%

Probability Distribution Home (24%) / Draw (23%) / Away (53%)

Manchester City win (2) 53%

1.70 OddScore Pick

Nottingham Forest win (1) 24%

5.13

Draw (X) 23%

4.41

Probability Distribution Yes — 53% | No — 47%

Both teams to score — Yes 53%

1.61

Both teams to score — No 47%

2.20

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 54% | Under — 46%

Over 2.5 goals 54%

1.61

Under 2.5 goals 46%

2.30

Both teams to score Yes — 53% vs No — 47% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 54% vs Under — 46% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 53% | Market: 57% -8.3% Edge

Bet now

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Manchester City win in this fixture, with a confidence of 53%. Nottingham Forest come into this one having taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.71 expected goals for and 1.19 against.

Manchester City arrive with 3-0-2 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 2 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. At the current price of 1.70 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Nottingham Forest Form

Oct 23 Ipswich Town 1 - 1 D

Oct 18 Arsenal 0 - 1 L

Oct 11 Crystal Palace 1 - 3 L

Sep 19 Coventry City 0 - 1 L

Sep 12 Aston Villa 2 - 1 W

Manchester City Form

Oct 24 Aston Villa 1 - 2 L

Oct 20 AEK Athens 5 - 1 W

Oct 17 Ipswich Town 3 - 2 W

Oct 14 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 4 L

Oct 11 Liverpool 3 - 0 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Mar 4, 2026 Manchester City 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest Etihad Stadium

Dec 27, 2025 Nottingham Forest 1 - 2 Manchester City The City Ground

Mar 8, 2025 Nottingham Forest 1 - 0 Manchester City The City Ground

Dec 4, 2024 Manchester City 3 - 0 Nottingham Forest Etihad Stadium

Bet now

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Nottingham Forest Manchester City

1.71

xG per match

1.94

1.19

xG against

1.11

17.1

Shots per match

14.6

46.3

Possession, %

64.3

Goals this season

Both teams scored, %

62.5

37.5

Over 2.5, %