Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction & Tips

Ligue 1 • Round 8

Olympique Marseille

Le Havre

Sunday, 25 October 2026 — 16:15 UTC

Stade Vélodrome

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 65% 17 bookmakers Model 57%

Probability Distribution Home (57%) / Draw (23%) / Away (20%)

Olympique Marseille win (1) 57%

1.56 OddScore Pick

Draw (X) 23%

5.18

Le Havre win (2) 20%

6.50

Probability Distribution Yes — 52% | No — 48%

Both teams to score — Yes 52%

1.66

Both teams to score — No 48%

2.30

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 54% | Under — 46%

Over 2.5 goals 54%

1.50

Under 2.5 goals 46%

2.76

Both teams to score Yes — 52% vs No — 48% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 54% vs Under — 46% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 57% | Market: 65% -12.6% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Olympique Marseille win in this fixture, with a confidence of 57%. Olympique Marseille come into this one having taken 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.7 expected goals for and 1.99 against.

Le Havre arrive with 0-0-5 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 3 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. At the current price of 1.56 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Olympique Marseille Form

Oct 25 Le Havre 4 - 3 W

Oct 22 Sturm Graz 0 - 1 L

Oct 18 Angers SCO 5 - 2 W

Oct 15 Olympiacos F.C. 0 - 1 L

Oct 11 Troyes 2 - 0 W

Le Havre Form

Oct 30 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 5 L

Oct 25 Olympique Marseille 3 - 4 L

Oct 18 Auxerre 1 - 3 L

Oct 10 LOSC Lille 0 - 1 L

Sep 19 Toulouse 2 - 3 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

May 10, 2026 Le Havre 0 - 1 Olympique Marseille Stade Océane

Oct 18, 2025 Olympique Marseille 6 - 2 Le Havre Stade Vélodrome

May 10, 2025 Le Havre 1 - 3 Olympique Marseille Stade Océane

Jan 5, 2025 Olympique Marseille 5 - 1 Le Havre Stade Vélodrome

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Olympique Marseille Le Havre

1.7

xG per match

1.75

1.99

xG against

1.6

12.9

Shots per match

16.1

Possession, %

Goals this season

Both teams scored, %

66.67

62.5

Over 2.5, %

55.56