Osasuna vs Athletic Club Prediction & Tips

La Liga • Round 12
Osasuna
Osasuna
versus
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Saturday, 7 November 2026 — 17:30 UTC Estadio El Sadar

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 43% 8 bookmakers Model 42%
Probability Distribution Home (32%) / Draw (27%) / Away (42%)
Athletic Club win (2) 42%
2.23 OddScore Pick
Osasuna win (1) 32%
3.52
Draw (X) 27%
3.52
Probability Distribution Yes — 54% | No — 46%
Both teams to score — Yes 54%
1.80
Both teams to score — No 46%
1.95
Probability Distribution Under — 51% | Over 2.5 — 49%
Under 2.5 goals 51%
1.72
Over 2.5 goals 49%
2.10
Both teams to score Yes — 54% vs No — 46% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 49% vs Under — 51% Under
Neural edge detected Model: 42% | Market: 43% -3.5% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Athletic Club win in this fixture, with a confidence of 42%. Osasuna come into this one having taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.47 expected goals for and 1.44 against.

Athletic Club arrive with 1-3-1 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 2 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%. At the current price of 2.23 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Osasuna Form

Oct 26 Sevilla 0 - 2 L
Oct 18 Racing Santander 2 - 0 W
Oct 11 Real Betis 2 - 5 L
Sep 19 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 D
Sep 16 Atlético de Madrid 0 - 4 L

Athletic Club Form

Oct 25 Getafe 4 - 0 W
Oct 21 Levante 1 - 3 L
Oct 17 Valencia 0 - 0 D
Sep 19 Deportivo Alavés 0 - 0 D
Sep 12 Elche 1 - 1 D

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Apr 21, 2026 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Osasuna San Mamés Barria
Jan 3, 2026 Osasuna 1 - 1 Athletic Club Estadio El Sadar
Mar 30, 2025 Athletic Club 0 - 0 Osasuna San Mamés Barria
Dec 21, 2024 Osasuna 1 - 2 Athletic Club Estadio El Sadar

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Osasuna Athletic Club
1.47
xG per match
1.46
1.44
xG against
1.2
10.6
Shots per match
15
46.7
Possession, %
55.9
10
Goals this season
12
40
Both teams scored, %
33.33
40
Over 2.5, %
44.44