Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes Prediction & Tips

Ligue 1 • Round 10

Paris Saint Germain

Troyes

Saturday, 7 November 2026 — 19:45 UTC

Parc des Princes

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 83% 7 bookmakers Model 74%

Probability Distribution Home (74%) / Draw (18%) / Away (9%)

Paris Saint Germain win (1) 74%

1.16 OddScore Pick

Draw (X) 18%

9.97

Troyes win (2) 9%

18.50

Probability Distribution No — 55% | Yes — 45%

Both teams to score — No 55%

1.90

Both teams to score — Yes 45%

1.90

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 56% | Under — 44%

Over 2.5 goals 56%

1.28

Under 2.5 goals 44%

3.75

Both teams to score Yes — 45% vs No — 55% No

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 56% vs Under — 44% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 74% | Market: 83% -11.6% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Paris Saint Germain win in this fixture, with a confidence of 74%. Paris Saint Germain come into this one having taken 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 2.25 expected goals for and 1.12 against.

Troyes arrive with 0-1-4 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. At the current price of 1.16 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Paris Saint Germain Form

Oct 30 Le Havre 5 - 1 W

Oct 26 Olympique Lyonnais 2 - 0 W

Oct 20 FC Barcelona 4 - 2 W

Oct 17 Strasbourg 3 - 1 W

Oct 14 Manchester City 4 - 2 W

Troyes Form

Oct 25 Toulouse 0 - 0 D

Oct 17 Lens 1 - 3 L

Oct 11 Olympique Marseille 0 - 2 L

Sep 19 Angers SCO 0 - 2 L

Sep 13 LOSC Lille 0 - 2 L

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Paris Saint Germain Troyes

2.25

xG per match

1.14

1.12

xG against

1.53

19.8

Shots per match

13.6

68.3

Possession, %

38.8

Goals this season

77.78

Both teams scored, %

37.5

77.78

Over 2.5, %

37.5