Parma vs Bologna Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 11

Parma

Bologna

Saturday, 7 November 2026 — 17:00 UTC

Stadio Ennio Tardini

AI Prediction Markets

Model 45%

Probability Distribution Home (26%) / Draw (29%) / Away (45%)

Bologna win (2) 45%

— OddScore Pick

Draw (X) 29%

—

Parma win (1) 26%

—

Probability Distribution No — 57% | Yes — 43%

Both teams to score — No 57%

—

Both teams to score — Yes 43%

—

Probability Distribution Under — 61% | Over 2.5 — 39%

Under 2.5 goals 61%

—

Over 2.5 goals 39%

—

Both teams to score Yes — 43% vs No — 57% No

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 39% vs Under — 61% Under

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Bologna win in this fixture, with a confidence of 45%. Parma come into this one having taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 0.95 expected goals for and 1.64 against.

Bologna arrive with 3-1-1 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 1 time. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.

Parma Form

Oct 28 Udinese 0 - 0 D

Oct 24 Lazio 1 - 2 L

Oct 19 Torino 0 - 3 L

Oct 10 Inter 0 - 3 L

Sep 20 Genoa 2 - 1 W

Bologna Form

Oct 28 AC Milan 4 - 2 W

Oct 24 Cagliari 2 - 0 W

Oct 17 Inter 1 - 3 L

Oct 11 Lecce 2 - 1 W

Sep 19 Torino 1 - 1 D

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Feb 8, 2026 Bologna 0 - 1 Parma Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Nov 2, 2025 Parma 1 - 3 Bologna Stadio Ennio Tardini

Feb 22, 2025 Parma 2 - 0 Bologna Stadio Ennio Tardini

Oct 6, 2024 Bologna 0 - 0 Parma Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Parma Bologna

0.95

xG per match

1.36

1.64

xG against

1.21

10.3

Shots per match

11.9

42.1

Possession, %

46.1

Goals this season

44.44

Both teams scored, %

55.56

Over 2.5, %

44.44