Rayo Vallecano win (1)
50%
1.81
OddScore Pick
50%
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche Prediction & Tips
La Liga
• Round 10
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Saturday, 24 October 2026 — 12:00 UTC
Estadio de Vallecas
Estadio de Vallecas
AI Prediction Markets
Market average
54%
17 bookmakers
Model
50%
50%
Probability Distribution
Home (50%) / Draw (28%) / Away (22%)
Draw (X)
28%
3.94
Elche win (2)
22%
4.80
Probability Distribution
No — 55% | Yes — 45%
Both teams to score — No
55%
2.05
Both teams to score — Yes
45%
1.75
Probability Distribution
Under — 59% | Over 2.5 — 41%
Under 2.5 goals
59%
2.10
Over 2.5 goals
41%
1.89
No
Under
✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown
Our model leans towards a Rayo Vallecano win in this fixture, with a confidence of 50%. Rayo Vallecano come into this one having taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.38 expected goals for and 1.87 against.
Elche arrive with 2-2-1 across their own last 5. The last 2 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 0 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 41%. At the current price of 1.81 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.
Rayo Vallecano Form
Oct 24
Elche
0 - 3
L
Oct 19
Getafe
1 - 1
D
Sep 19
Osasuna
1 - 1
D
Sep 15
Espanyol
2 - 1
W
Sep 12
Real Madrid
1 - 4
L
Elche Form
Oct 24
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 0
W
Oct 17
Villarreal
0 - 0
D
Oct 11
Celta de Vigo
0 - 0
D
Sep 18
Espanyol
3 - 1
W
Sep 15
Real Madrid
2 - 3
L
Head to Head History
DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Apr 3, 2026
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 0
Elche
Estadio de Vallecas
Dec 21, 2025
Elche
4 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Key Stats & Team Metrics
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
1.38
xG per match
1.35
1.87
xG against
1.55
14.8
Shots per match
11.5
51.8
Possession, %
50.1
12
Goals this season
14
88.89
Both teams scored, %
60
66.67
Over 2.5, %
60