RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg Prediction & Tips

Bundesliga • Round 9
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
versus
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
Saturday, 7 November 2026 — 14:30 UTC Red Bull Arena

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 64% 11 bookmakers Model 63%
Probability Distribution Home (63%) / Draw (20%) / Away (17%)
RB Leipzig win (1) 63%
1.50 OddScore Pick
Draw (X) 20%
5.49
FC Augsburg win (2) 17%
6.00
Probability Distribution Yes — 60% | No — 40%
Both teams to score — Yes 60%
1.40
Both teams to score — No 40%
2.75
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 68% | Under — 32%
Over 2.5 goals 68%
1.28
Under 2.5 goals 32%
3.75
Both teams to score Yes — 60% vs No — 40% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 68% vs Under — 32% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 63% | Market: 64% -2.5% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a RB Leipzig win in this fixture, with a confidence of 63%. RB Leipzig come into this one having taken 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 2.24 expected goals for and 1.58 against.

FC Augsburg arrive with 0-3-2 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 1 time. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 68%. At the current price of 1.50 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

RB Leipzig Form

Oct 24 Elversberg 4 - 0 W
Oct 21 Real Madrid 1 - 4 L
Oct 17 FC Bayern München 1 - 6 L
Oct 13 PSV 1 - 0 W
Oct 10 Eintracht Frankfurt 6 - 0 W

FC Augsburg Form

Oct 24 FC Union Berlin 1 - 1 D
Oct 17 Elversberg 3 - 4 L
Oct 10 FC Bayern München 2 - 2 D
Sep 19 Werder Bremen 2 - 3 L
Sep 12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 2 D

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Mar 7, 2026 RB Leipzig 2 - 1 FC Augsburg Red Bull Arena
Oct 25, 2025 FC Augsburg 0 - 6 RB Leipzig WWK Arena
Feb 14, 2025 FC Augsburg 0 - 0 RB Leipzig WWK Arena
Sep 28, 2024 RB Leipzig 4 - 0 FC Augsburg Red Bull Arena

Key Stats & Team Metrics

RB Leipzig FC Augsburg
2.24
xG per match
2.11
1.58
xG against
2.86
17.1
Shots per match
17.4
53
Possession, %
44.9
20
Goals this season
17
28.57
Both teams scored, %
85.71
85.71
Over 2.5, %
85.71