Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 4

Real Sociedad

Olympique Lyonnais

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 17:45 UTC

Anoeta Stadium

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 48% 14 bookmakers Model 49%

Probability Distribution Home (49%) / Draw (24%) / Away (27%)

Real Sociedad win (1) 49%

2.00 OddScore Pick

Olympique Lyonnais win (2) 27%

3.74

Draw (X) 24%

3.90

Probability Distribution Yes — 55% | No — 45%

Both teams to score — Yes 55%

1.54

Both teams to score — No 45%

2.55

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 54% | Under — 46%

Over 2.5 goals 54%

1.66

Under 2.5 goals 46%

2.40

Both teams to score Yes — 55% vs No — 45% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 54% vs Under — 46% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 49% | Market: 48% +1.7% Edge

Bet now

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Real Sociedad win in this fixture, with a confidence of 49%. Real Sociedad come into this one having taken 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.42 expected goals for and 1.7 against.

Olympique Lyonnais arrive with 2-0-3 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. At the current price of 2.00 that leaves a 1.7% edge over the market.

Real Sociedad Form

Oct 25 Levante 2 - 1 W

Oct 22 Lillestrøm 6 - 0 W

Oct 18 Málaga 5 - 2 W

Oct 15 Union Saint-Gilloise 1 - 1 D

Oct 11 Deportivo A Coruña 3 - 2 W

Olympique Lyonnais Form

Oct 26 Paris Saint Germain 0 - 2 L

Oct 22 TSG Hoffenheim 0 - 3 L

Oct 18 Nice 2 - 1 W

Oct 15 Crystal Palace 3 - 2 W

Oct 9 Lens 1 - 2 L

Bet now

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Real Sociedad Olympique Lyonnais

1.42

xG per match

1.67

1.7

xG against

1.87

12.3

Shots per match

10.7

Possession, %

49.7

Goals this season

66.67

Both teams scored, %

66.67

Over 2.5, %

100