Rennes vs Auxerre Prediction & Tips

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Rennes host Auxerre in round 6 of Ligue 1 as clear favourites according to the model, which gives the home side a 58.3% chance of winning, the draw 23.8% and an Auxerre win 17.83%. The best available bookmaker odds of 1.48 for Rennes, 5.15 for the draw and 7 for the visitors point in the same direction. Rennes sit fifth after five matches with three wins, one draw and one defeat, and a goal difference of 8 scored to 9 conceded. Auxerre are tenth with two wins and three defeats, having scored 7 and conceded 12.

The goal markets suggest an open match without a strong lean. The model puts the chance of both teams scoring at 49.36%, against 50.64% for at least one side failing to score. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 51.46% and under 2.5 at 48.53%, so the line is close to balanced. Over 1.5 goals is rated at 74.35%, while over 3.5 stands at 29.87% and over 4.5 at 18.1%. Recent form leans towards goals: both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of their matches this season, and Auxerre's games have produced both teams scoring in 80% of cases, compared with 60% for Rennes.

Availability may shape the contest. Rennes are without Ayanda Sishuba, Gauthier Gallon and Glen Kamara through suspension, and Brice Samba is injured. Auxerre's list is longer: Ado Onaiwu and Gabriel Osho are suspended, while Assane Dioussé, Bryan Okoh, Clément Akpa, Marvin Senaya and Sékou Fofana are injured. The recent head-to-head is mixed, with Rennes winning 3:0 away in February 2026, a 2:2 draw in October 2025, and one win each in the two earlier meetings. The model's estimates are probabilities, not certainties, and a home win is the most likely outcome rather than a guaranteed one.