Rennes vs Strasbourg Prediction & Tips

Ligue 1 • Round 8
Rennes
Rennes
versus
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Sunday, 25 October 2026 — 16:15 UTC Roazhon Park

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 53% 17 bookmakers Model 61%
Probability Distribution Home (61%) / Draw (21%) / Away (18%)
Rennes win (1) 61%
1.83 OddScore Pick
Draw (X) 21%
4.34
Strasbourg win (2) 18%
4.30
Probability Distribution Yes — 57% | No — 43%
Both teams to score — Yes 57%
1.53
Both teams to score — No 43%
2.70
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 60% | Under — 40%
Over 2.5 goals 60%
1.53
Under 2.5 goals 40%
2.87
Both teams to score Yes — 57% vs No — 43% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 60% vs Under — 40% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 61% | Market: 53% +15.8% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Rennes win in this fixture, with a confidence of 61%. Rennes come into this one having taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.99 expected goals for and 2.02 against.

Strasbourg arrive with 0-1-4 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 2 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 60%. At the current price of 1.83 that leaves a 15.8% edge over the market.

Rennes Form

Oct 30 Nice 2 - 5 L
Oct 25 Strasbourg 3 - 0 W
Oct 22 Juventus 2 - 2 D
Oct 18 Paris 3 - 4 L
Oct 15 OFI 2 - 1 W

Strasbourg Form

Oct 25 Rennes 0 - 3 L
Oct 17 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 3 L
Oct 11 Nice 1 - 2 L
Sep 19 Paris 1 - 2 L
Sep 12 Monaco 1 - 1 D

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Apr 19, 2026 Strasbourg 0 - 3 Rennes Stade de la Meinau
Nov 2, 2025 Rennes 4 - 1 Strasbourg Roazhon Park
Feb 2, 2025 Rennes 1 - 0 Strasbourg Roazhon Park
Aug 25, 2024 Strasbourg 3 - 1 Rennes Stade de la Meinau

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Rennes Strasbourg
1.99
xG per match
1.1
2.02
xG against
1.94
16.3
Shots per match
12.1
51.1
Possession, %
45.9
20
Goals this season
12
66.67
Both teams scored, %
75
88.89
Over 2.5, %
87.5