Riga vs Jablonec Prediction & Tips

Europa Conference League • Round 3

Riga

Jablonec

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 20:00 UTC

Stadions Skonto

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 41% 14 bookmakers Model 59%

Probability Distribution Home (59%) / Draw (22%) / Away (19%)

Riga win (1) 59%

2.38 OddScore Pick

Draw (X) 22%

3.45

Jablonec win (2) 19%

3.15

Probability Distribution Yes — 54% | No — 46%

Both teams to score — Yes 54%

1.73

Both teams to score — No 46%

2.10

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 61% | Under — 39%

Over 2.5 goals 61%

1.97

Under 2.5 goals 39%

1.91

Both teams to score Yes — 54% vs No — 46% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 61% vs Under — 39% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 59% | Market: 41% +45.5% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Riga win in this fixture, with a confidence of 59%. Riga come into this one having taken 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 2.3 expected goals for and 1.33 against.

Jablonec arrive with 2-1-2 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 61%. At the current price of 2.38 that leaves a 45.5% edge over the market.

Riga Form

Oct 22 Pafos FC 1 - 1 D

Oct 15 Kairat 1 - 1 D

Aug 27 KÍ 2 - 1 W

Aug 20 KÍ 0 - 0 D

Aug 13 Győri ETO 1 - 1 D

Jablonec Form

Oct 22 Brighton & Hove Albion 0 - 0 D

Oct 15 SC Freiburg 2 - 3 L

Aug 20 Rangers 0 - 1 L

Aug 13 Rīgas FS 2 - 1 W

Aug 6 Rīgas FS 2 - 0 W

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Riga Jablonec

2.3

xG per match

0.88

1.33

xG against

2.02

17.3

Shots per match

8.3

55.8

Possession, %

38.3

Goals this season

Both teams scored, %

42.86

37.5

Over 2.5, %

42.86