Roma vs Cagliari Prediction & Tips

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Roma host Cagliari in Serie A’s ninth round with a stronger start to the season on the available numbers. Roma are third after eight matches, unbeaten with five wins and three draws, and have scored 19 goals while conceding six. Cagliari are ninth, with four wins, one draw and three defeats, and have a goal record of 6:9. Their attacking output has been more limited, with both teams scoring in 25% of their matches and over 2.5 goals in 25%, compared with Roma’s figures of 37.5% and 62.5%.

The model gives Roma a 66.71% probability of winning, compared with 20.01% for a draw and 13.28% for a Cagliari victory. It assigns a 56.19% probability to over 2.5 goals and a 49.13% probability that both teams will score, suggesting a stronger expectation of a Roma result than of an open contest involving goals at both ends. The recent head-to-head record is mixed but generally low scoring: Roma won 2-0 in February 2026 and 1-0 in March 2025, while Cagliari won 1-0 in December 2025 and the teams drew 0-0 in August 2024. Roma will be without nine listed players, while Cagliari have nine unavailable players.