Roma vs Sassuolo Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 11

Roma

Sassuolo

Saturday, 7 November 2026 — 19:45 UTC

Stadio Olimpico

AI Prediction Markets

Model 70%

Probability Distribution Home (70%) / Draw (19%) / Away (11%)

Roma win (1) 70%

— OddScore Pick

Draw (X) 19%

—

Sassuolo win (2) 11%

—

Probability Distribution No — 50% | Yes — 50%

Both teams to score — No 50%

—

Both teams to score — Yes 50%

—

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 59% | Under — 41%

Over 2.5 goals 59%

—

Under 2.5 goals 41%

—

Both teams to score Yes — 50% vs No — 50% No

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 59% vs Under — 41% Over

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Roma win in this fixture, with a confidence of 70%. Roma come into this one having taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 2.26 expected goals for and 1.29 against.

Sassuolo arrive with 0-1-4 across their own last 5. The last 2 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 0 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

Roma Form

Oct 27 Cagliari 4 - 2 W

Oct 24 Napoli 3 - 3 D

Oct 20 Slovan Bratislava 4 - 0 W

Oct 17 Genoa 2 - 0 W

Oct 14 Real Madrid 3 - 4 L

Sassuolo Form

Oct 27 Lazio 2 - 6 L

Oct 24 Como 0 - 2 L

Oct 16 Frosinone 2 - 4 L

Oct 11 AC Milan 1 - 1 D

Sep 18 Monza 1 - 2 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Jan 10, 2026 Roma 2 - 0 Sassuolo Stadio Olimpico

Oct 26, 2025 Sassuolo 0 - 1 Roma MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Roma Sassuolo

2.26

xG per match

1.39

1.29

xG against

1.74

Shots per match

14.1

56.8

Possession, %

47.1

Goals this season

44.44

Both teams scored, %

88.89

66.67

Over 2.5, %

77.78