Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 10

Sassuolo

Fiorentina

Monday, 2 November 2026 — 17:30 UTC

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 41% 15 bookmakers Model 39%

Probability Distribution Home (39%) / Draw (27%) / Away (35%)

Sassuolo win (1) 39%

2.94 OddScore Pick

Fiorentina win (2) 35%

2.43

Draw (X) 27%

3.82

Probability Distribution Yes — 62% | No — 38%

Both teams to score — Yes 62%

1.50

Both teams to score — No 38%

2.80

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 57% | Under — 43%

Over 2.5 goals 57%

1.57

Under 2.5 goals 43%

2.51

Both teams to score Yes — 62% vs No — 38% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 57% vs Under — 43% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 39% | Market: 33% +15.8% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Sassuolo win in this fixture, with a confidence of 39%. Sassuolo come into this one having taken 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.39 expected goals for and 1.74 against.

Fiorentina arrive with 0-2-3 across their own last 5. The last 2 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 1 time. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. At the current price of 2.94 that leaves a 15.8% edge over the market.

Sassuolo Form

Oct 27 Lazio 2 - 6 L

Oct 24 Como 0 - 2 L

Oct 16 Frosinone 2 - 4 L

Oct 11 AC Milan 1 - 1 D

Sep 18 Monza 1 - 2 L

Fiorentina Form

Oct 29 Atalanta 2 - 2 D

Oct 25 Inter 1 - 2 L

Oct 18 Como 1 - 3 L

Oct 10 Genoa 1 - 2 L

Sep 20 Napoli 1 - 1 D

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Apr 26, 2026 Fiorentina 0 - 0 Sassuolo Stadio Artemio Franchi

Dec 6, 2025 Sassuolo 3 - 1 Fiorentina MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Sassuolo Fiorentina

1.39

xG per match

1.51

1.74

xG against

1.66

14.1

Shots per match

16.6

47.1

Possession, %

Goals this season

88.89

Both teams scored, %

77.78

Over 2.5, %

88.89