Sassuolo vs Lazio Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 9
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
versus
Lazio
Lazio
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 — 17:30 UTC MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 47% 17 bookmakers Model 41%
Probability Distribution Home (33%) / Draw (27%) / Away (41%)
Lazio win (2) 41%
2.18 OddScore Pick
Sassuolo win (1) 33%
3.80
Draw (X) 27%
3.73
Probability Distribution Yes — 57% | No — 43%
Both teams to score — Yes 57%
1.61
Both teams to score — No 43%
2.63
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 54% | Under — 46%
Over 2.5 goals 54%
1.77
Under 2.5 goals 46%
2.35
Both teams to score Yes — 57% vs No — 43% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 54% vs Under — 46% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 41% | Market: 47% -14.2% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Sassuolo host Lazio in Serie A’s ninth round, with kick-off scheduled for 27 October 2026 at 17:30 UTC. Lazio arrive second in the league after eight matches, with seven wins, one draw and no defeats. They have scored 16 goals and conceded five. Sassuolo are 14th, with two wins, two draws and four defeats, while their goals record stands at 12 scored and 16 conceded.

The model gives Lazio the highest probability of victory at 40.66%, compared with 32.64% for Sassuolo and 26.70% for a draw. It also assigns a 57.26% probability to both teams scoring and a 53.45% probability to more than 2.5 goals. Sassuolo’s matches have seen both teams score in 87.5% of cases and more than 2.5 goals in 75%, while Lazio’s corresponding figures are 50% and 62.5%. The recent head-to-head record is split across the last two meetings: Lazio won 2-1 in March 2026, while Sassuolo won 1-0 in September 2025. Lazio have 18 listed injured players, and Sassuolo have five.

Sassuolo Form

Oct 27 Lazio 2 - 6 L
Oct 24 Como 0 - 2 L
Oct 16 Frosinone 2 - 4 L
Oct 11 AC Milan 1 - 1 D
Sep 18 Monza 1 - 2 L

Lazio Form

Oct 27 Sassuolo 6 - 2 W
Oct 24 Parma 2 - 1 W
Oct 18 Juventus 3 - 0 W
Oct 11 Monza 3 - 1 W
Sep 19 Venezia 2 - 0 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Mar 9, 2026 Lazio 2 - 1 Sassuolo Stadio Olimpico
Sep 14, 2025 Sassuolo 1 - 0 Lazio MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Sassuolo Lazio
1.39
xG per match
1.64
1.74
xG against
1.24
14.1
Shots per match
14.1
47.1
Possession, %
51.8
14
Goals this season
22
88.89
Both teams scored, %
55.56
77.78
Over 2.5, %
66.67