SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München Prediction & Tips

Bundesliga • Round 7

SC Freiburg

FC Bayern München

Sunday, 25 October 2026 — 16:30 UTC

Europa-Park Stadion

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 64% 17 bookmakers Model 53%

Probability Distribution Home (24%) / Draw (23%) / Away (53%)

FC Bayern München win (2) 53%

1.60 OddScore Pick

SC Freiburg win (1) 24%

6.40

Draw (X) 23%

5.50

Probability Distribution Yes — 61% | No — 39%

Both teams to score — Yes 61%

1.44

Both teams to score — No 39%

3.26

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 63% | Under — 37%

Over 2.5 goals 63%

1.30

Under 2.5 goals 37%

3.98

Both teams to score Yes — 61% vs No — 39% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 63% vs Under — 37% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 53% | Market: 64% -17.3% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an FC Bayern München win in this fixture, with a confidence of 53%. SC Freiburg come into this one having taken 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.73 expected goals for and 1.04 against.

FC Bayern München arrive with 2-3-0 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 3 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 63%. At the current price of 1.60 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

SC Freiburg Form

Oct 25 FC Bayern München 1 - 3 L

Oct 22 Monaco 0 - 3 L

Oct 18 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 - 2 L

Oct 15 Jablonec 3 - 2 W

Oct 11 Schalke 04 2 - 1 W

FC Bayern München Form

Oct 25 SC Freiburg 3 - 1 W

Oct 21 Arsenal 2 - 2 D

Oct 17 RB Leipzig 6 - 1 W

Oct 13 Viking 3 - 3 D

Oct 10 FC Augsburg 2 - 2 D

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Apr 4, 2026 SC Freiburg 2 - 3 FC Bayern München Europa-Park Stadion

Nov 22, 2025 FC Bayern München 6 - 2 SC Freiburg Allianz Arena

Jan 25, 2025 SC Freiburg 1 - 2 FC Bayern München Europa-Park Stadion

Sep 1, 2024 FC Bayern München 2 - 0 SC Freiburg Allianz Arena

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

SC Freiburg FC Bayern München

1.73

xG per match

3.03

1.04

xG against

0.9

16.1

Shots per match

23.1

51.3

Possession, %

67.1

Goals this season

71.43

Both teams scored, %

71.43

85.71

Over 2.5, %

85.71