SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin Prediction & Tips

Bundesliga • Round 9
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
versus
FC Union Berlin
FC Union Berlin
Sunday, 8 November 2026 — 16:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 63% 11 bookmakers Model 63%
Probability Distribution Home (63%) / Draw (21%) / Away (16%)
SC Freiburg win (1) 63%
1.55 OddScore Pick
Draw (X) 21%
4.82
FC Union Berlin win (2) 16%
6.11
Probability Distribution Yes — 54% | No — 46%
Both teams to score — Yes 54%
1.66
Both teams to score — No 46%
2.10
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 61% | Under — 39%
Over 2.5 goals 61%
1.57
Under 2.5 goals 39%
2.37
Both teams to score Yes — 54% vs No — 46% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 61% vs Under — 39% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 63% | Market: 63% -0.6% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a SC Freiburg win in this fixture, with a confidence of 63%. SC Freiburg come into this one having taken 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.73 expected goals for and 1.04 against.

FC Union Berlin arrive with 1-2-2 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 1 time. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 61%. At the current price of 1.55 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

SC Freiburg Form

Oct 25 FC Bayern München 1 - 3 L
Oct 22 Monaco 0 - 3 L
Oct 18 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 - 2 L
Oct 15 Jablonec 3 - 2 W
Oct 11 Schalke 04 2 - 1 W

FC Union Berlin Form

Oct 24 FC Augsburg 1 - 1 D
Oct 17 Borussia Dortmund 0 - 0 D
Oct 10 Elversberg 1 - 0 W
Sep 18 FC Bayern München 0 - 7 L
Sep 11 Schalke 04 1 - 3 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Mar 15, 2026 SC Freiburg 0 - 1 FC Union Berlin Europa-Park Stadion
Nov 1, 2025 FC Union Berlin 0 - 0 SC Freiburg Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Mar 30, 2025 SC Freiburg 1 - 2 FC Union Berlin Europa-Park Stadion
Nov 8, 2024 FC Union Berlin 0 - 0 SC Freiburg Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Key Stats & Team Metrics

SC Freiburg FC Union Berlin
1.73
xG per match
1.29
1.04
xG against
2.03
16.1
Shots per match
12
51.3
Possession, %
42.4
16
Goals this season
6
71.43
Both teams scored, %
42.86
85.71
Over 2.5, %
57.14