Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction & Tips

La Liga • Round 12

Sevilla

Deportivo Alavés

Friday, 6 November 2026 — 20:00 UTC

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 46% 9 bookmakers Model 43%

Probability Distribution Home (43%) / Draw (27%) / Away (30%)

Sevilla win (1) 43%

2.14 OddScore Pick

Deportivo Alavés win (2) 30%

3.90

Draw (X) 27%

3.43

Probability Distribution Yes — 51% | No — 49%

Both teams to score — Yes 51%

1.95

Both teams to score — No 49%

1.80

Probability Distribution Under — 53% | Over 2.5 — 47%

Under 2.5 goals 53%

1.66

Over 2.5 goals 47%

2.20

Both teams to score Yes — 51% vs No — 49% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 47% vs Under — 53% Under

Neural edge detected Model: 43% | Market: 46% -7.3% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Sevilla win in this fixture, with a confidence of 43%. Sevilla come into this one having taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.27 expected goals for and 1.45 against.

Deportivo Alavés arrive with 0-2-3 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 4 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 47%. At the current price of 2.14 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Sevilla Form

Oct 26 Osasuna 2 - 0 W

Oct 18 Real Madrid 1 - 4 L

Oct 12 Levante 3 - 3 D

Sep 19 FC Barcelona 1 - 3 L

Sep 16 Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 0 W

Deportivo Alavés Form

Oct 23 Málaga 1 - 1 D

Oct 18 Celta de Vigo 1 - 2 L

Oct 10 Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 L

Sep 19 Athletic Club 0 - 0 D

Sep 15 Valencia 0 - 1 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Feb 14, 2026 Sevilla 1 - 1 Deportivo Alavés Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sep 20, 2025 Deportivo Alavés 1 - 2 Sevilla Estadio de Mendizorroza

Apr 20, 2025 Sevilla 1 - 1 Deportivo Alavés Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sep 20, 2024 Deportivo Alavés 2 - 1 Sevilla Estadio de Mendizorroza

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Sevilla Deportivo Alavés

1.27

xG per match

1.18

1.45

xG against

1.21

12.3

Shots per match

13.3

41.7

Possession, %

42.9

Goals this season

Both teams scored, %

Over 2.5, %