Sevilla vs Osasuna Prediction & Tips

La Liga • Round 10
Sevilla
Sevilla
versus
Osasuna
Osasuna
Monday, 26 October 2026 — 20:00 UTC Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 50% 17 bookmakers Model 47%
Probability Distribution Home (47%) / Draw (26%) / Away (27%)
Sevilla win (1) 47%
1.96 OddScore Pick
Osasuna win (2) 27%
4.65
Draw (X) 26%
3.48
Probability Distribution Yes — 55% | No — 45%
Both teams to score — Yes 55%
2.00
Both teams to score — No 45%
1.90
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 52% | Under — 48%
Over 2.5 goals 52%
2.29
Under 2.5 goals 48%
1.73
Both teams to score Yes — 55% vs No — 45% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 52% vs Under — 48% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 47% | Market: 50% -4.5% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Sevilla enter Round 10 in sixth position after four wins, two draws and three defeats, with 14 goals scored and 16 conceded. Osasuna are 12th, having recorded three wins, two draws and four defeats, while scoring 10 goals and allowing 18. Sevilla’s season data has seen both teams score in 77.78% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 66.67%, compared with 44.44% for both measures in Osasuna’s matches. The model gives Sevilla a 47.34% probability of winning, with the draw at 25.94% and an Osasuna victory at 26.76%.

The recent head-to-head record is closely contested, with Osasuna winning 2-1 in April 2026, after Sevilla won 1-0 in November 2025. Osasuna also won 1-0 in April 2025, while the earlier meeting in December 2024 ended 1-1. The model assigns a 55.33% probability to both teams scoring and a 51.73% probability of over 2.5 goals, while under 3.5 goals is rated at 69.66%. Sevilla will be without Adrià Pedrosa, Arouna Sangante, Isaac Romero, Jon Guridi, Lucas Stassin, Marcão, Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega, Rubén Vargas and Valentín Barco. Osasuna are missing Jorge Herrando, Moi Gómez, Raúl Moro, Romain Del Castillo and Valentin Rosier.

Sevilla Form

Oct 26 Osasuna 2 - 0 W
Oct 18 Real Madrid 1 - 4 L
Oct 12 Levante 3 - 3 D
Sep 19 FC Barcelona 1 - 3 L
Sep 16 Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 0 W

Osasuna Form

Oct 26 Sevilla 0 - 2 L
Oct 18 Racing Santander 2 - 0 W
Oct 11 Real Betis 2 - 5 L
Sep 19 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 D
Sep 16 Atlético de Madrid 0 - 4 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Apr 26, 2026 Osasuna 2 - 1 Sevilla Estadio El Sadar
Nov 8, 2025 Sevilla 1 - 0 Osasuna Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Apr 24, 2025 Osasuna 1 - 0 Sevilla Estadio El Sadar
Dec 2, 2024 Sevilla 1 - 1 Osasuna Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Sevilla Osasuna
1.27
xG per match
1.47
1.45
xG against
1.44
12.3
Shots per match
10.6
41.7
Possession, %
46.7
16
Goals this season
10
70
Both teams scored, %
40
60
Over 2.5, %
40