Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP Prediction & Tips

Champions League • Round 4

Shakhtar Donetsk

Sporting CP

Tuesday, 3 November 2026 — 17:45 UTC

Stamford Bridge

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 49% 14 bookmakers Model 44%

Probability Distribution Home (30%) / Draw (27%) / Away (44%)

Sporting CP win (2) 44%

2.02 OddScore Pick

Shakhtar Donetsk win (1) 30%

3.90

Draw (X) 27%

3.96

Probability Distribution Yes — 51% | No — 49%

Both teams to score — Yes 51%

1.62

Both teams to score — No 49%

2.38

Probability Distribution Under — 52% | Over 2.5 — 48%

Under 2.5 goals 52%

2.34

Over 2.5 goals 48%

1.72

Both teams to score Yes — 51% vs No — 49% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 48% vs Under — 52% Under

Neural edge detected Model: 44% | Market: 49% -10.9% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Sporting CP win in this fixture, with a confidence of 44%. Shakhtar Donetsk come into this one having taken 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 3. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 0.9 expected goals for and 0.89 against.

Sporting CP arrive with 2-0-1 across their own last 3. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 48%. At the current price of 2.02 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Shakhtar Donetsk Form

Oct 21 Inter 0 - 1 L

Oct 14 AEK Athens 3 - 1 W

Sep 10 PSV 1 - 1 D

Sporting CP Form

Oct 21 LASK 2 - 3 L

Oct 13 Lens 2 - 0 W

Sep 9 Galatasaray 3 - 1 W

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Shakhtar Donetsk Sporting CP

0.9

xG per match

1.99

0.89

xG against

1.43

10.7

Shots per match

11.7

Possession, %

Goals this season

66.67

Both teams scored, %

66.67

33.33

Over 2.5, %

66.67