Sparta Praha vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 4

Sparta Praha

AFC Bournemouth

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 17:45 UTC

TC Strahov

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 59% 14 bookmakers Model 52%

Probability Distribution Home (52%) / Draw (20%) / Away (28%)

Sparta Praha win (1) 52%

5.25 OddScore Pick

AFC Bournemouth win (2) 28%

1.62

Draw (X) 20%

4.46

Probability Distribution Yes — 52% | No — 48%

Both teams to score — Yes 52%

1.66

Both teams to score — No 48%

2.20

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 59% | Under — 41%

Over 2.5 goals 59%

1.63

Under 2.5 goals 41%

2.40

Both teams to score Yes — 52% vs No — 48% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 59% vs Under — 41% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 52% | Market: 18% +181.6% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Sparta Praha win in this fixture, with a confidence of 52%. Sparta Praha come into this one having taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.51 expected goals for and 1.5 against.

AFC Bournemouth arrive with 4-0-1 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. At the current price of 5.25 that leaves a 181.6% edge over the market.

Sparta Praha Form

Oct 22 Olympiacos F.C. 0 - 1 L

Oct 15 Lillestrøm 1 - 1 D

Sep 16 Ararat-Armenia 4 - 1 W

Aug 11 Olympique Lyonnais 0 - 3 L

Aug 4 Olympique Lyonnais 2 - 1 W

AFC Bournemouth Form

Oct 25 Manchester United 3 - 0 W

Oct 22 AC Milan 3 - 0 W

Oct 18 Sunderland 2 - 0 W

Oct 15 Sturm Graz 3 - 0 W

Oct 10 Chelsea 1 - 5 L

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Sparta Praha AFC Bournemouth

1.51

xG per match

2.42

1.5

xG against

0.52

17.3

Shots per match

50.3

Possession, %

54.7

Goals this season

66.67

Both teams scored, %

33.33

Over 2.5, %

100