Strasbourg vs Auxerre Prediction & Tips

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Strasbourg host Auxerre in round nine of Ligue 1 on 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Strasbourg sit 16th after two wins, one draw and five defeats, while Auxerre are 12th with three wins, one draw and four losses. Despite that difference, both sides have scored 12 goals and conceded 18 across eight matches. The model gives Strasbourg a 47.6% chance of victory, compared with 24.42% for a draw and 27.95% for Auxerre. That makes the hosts the likeliest individual outcome, although their probability remains below half.

The scoring data points towards goals, but the model is more restrained than the season results. Both teams have scored in 75% of Strasbourg’s matches and 87.5% of Auxerre’s, against a model probability of 58.48% for this meeting. Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 87.5% and 75% of their respective games, while the model assigns it 56.19%. Its 66.17% probability for under 3.5 goals suggests a more measured expectation than those recent scoring frequencies alone might imply.

Strasbourg are unbeaten in the four listed head-to-head meetings, winning three before the latest encounter finished 0–0. Availability is another consideration: Strasbourg’s absences include the suspended Eduard Sobol and injured Dilane Bakwa and Sebastian Nanasi, while Auxerre are without suspended Ado Onaiwu, Christ Makosso and Gabriel Osho. Strasbourg’s head-to-head record supports their status as favourites, but their five league defeats and the model’s probabilities leave substantial uncertainty.