Chelsea win (2)
44%
2.16
OddScore Pick
44%
Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction & Tips
Premier League
• Round 10
Sunderland
Chelsea
Sunday, 8 November 2026 — 14:00 UTC
Stadium of Light
Stadium of Light
AI Prediction Markets
Market average
45%
11 bookmakers
Model
44%
44%
Probability Distribution
Home (31%) / Draw (25%) / Away (44%)
Sunderland win (1)
31%
3.51
Draw (X)
25%
3.71
Probability Distribution
Yes — 60% | No — 40%
Both teams to score — Yes
60%
1.70
Both teams to score — No
40%
2.05
Probability Distribution
Over 2.5 — 58% | Under — 42%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.90
Under 2.5 goals
42%
1.90
Yes
Over
✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown
Our model leans towards an Chelsea win in this fixture, with a confidence of 44%. Sunderland come into this one having taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.38 expected goals for and 1.64 against.
Chelsea arrive with 2-1-2 across their own last 5. The last 2 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 2 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. At the current price of 2.16 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.
Sunderland Form
Oct 25
Leeds United
0 - 0
D
Oct 22
Lech Poznań
1 - 1
D
Oct 18
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 2
L
Oct 15
Torreense
2 - 1
W
Oct 10
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 2
L
Chelsea Form
Oct 24
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 2
L
Oct 17
Everton
2 - 0
W
Oct 10
AFC Bournemouth
5 - 1
W
Sep 18
Brentford
0 - 3
L
Sep 12
Hull City
2 - 2
D
Head to Head History
DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
May 24, 2026
Sunderland
2 - 1
Chelsea
Stadium of Light
Oct 25, 2025
Chelsea
1 - 2
Sunderland
Stamford Bridge
Key Stats & Team Metrics
Sunderland
Chelsea
1.38
xG per match
1.33
1.64
xG against
1.38
12
Shots per match
13.4
48.8
Possession, %
46.4
6
Goals this season
17
37.5
Both teams scored, %
62.5
25
Over 2.5, %
75