Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 4

Sunderland

Dinamo Zagreb

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 20:00 UTC

Stadium of Light

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 65% 14 bookmakers Model 46%

Probability Distribution Home (32%) / Draw (22%) / Away (46%)

Dinamo Zagreb win (2) 46%

6.95 OddScore Pick

Sunderland win (1) 32%

1.47

Draw (X) 22%

4.82

Probability Distribution No — 51% | Yes — 49%

Both teams to score — No 51%

2.00

Both teams to score — Yes 49%

1.80

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 55% | Under — 45%

Over 2.5 goals 55%

1.68

Under 2.5 goals 45%

2.30

Both teams to score Yes — 49% vs No — 51% No

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 55% vs Under — 45% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 46% | Market: 14% +221.4% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Dinamo Zagreb win in this fixture, with a confidence of 46%. Sunderland come into this one having taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 2.43 expected goals for and 1.23 against.

Dinamo Zagreb arrive with 1-2-2 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. At the current price of 6.95 that leaves a 221.4% edge over the market.

Sunderland Form

Oct 25 Leeds United 0 - 0 D

Oct 22 Lech Poznań 1 - 1 D

Oct 18 AFC Bournemouth 0 - 2 L

Oct 15 Torreense 2 - 1 W

Oct 10 Brighton & Hove Albion 0 - 2 L

Dinamo Zagreb Form

Oct 22 NEC Nijmegen 2 - 4 L

Oct 15 Anderlecht 1 - 0 W

Sep 16 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0 - 0 D

Aug 26 Viking 1 - 3 L

Aug 18 Viking 2 - 2 D

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Sunderland Dinamo Zagreb

2.43

xG per match

1.74

1.23

xG against

1.19

22.3

Shots per match

54.3

Possession, %

Goals this season

66.67

Both teams scored, %

33.33

Over 2.5, %

33.33