Thun vs Hajduk Split Prediction & Tips

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Thun host Hajduk Split in round 2 of the Europa Conference League, kicking off at 19:00 UTC on 22 October 2026. The model leans toward the visitors. It gives Hajduk Split a 44.93% chance of winning, Thun 31.89%, and a draw 23.15%. The best available bookmaker odds are 2.52 for an away win, 2.85 for a home win and 3.75 for a draw. Those odds point the same way, with Hajduk Split slightly ahead.

Form favours Hajduk Split. They have played five games this season, with four wins and one draw, and have scored 16 goals and conceded 7. Both teams scored in 80% of those games, and all five had more than 2.5 goals. Thun's sample is much smaller. They have played one game, lost it 0:1, and neither scored at both ends nor went over 2.5 goals. One match is too little to say much about their level.

Team news also matters. Hajduk Split are missing only Roko Brajkovic, who is injured. Thun have a long list of absentees. Fabio Saiz, Genís Montolio, Marc Gutbub, Mats Seiler, Mattias Käit and Michael Heule are injured, and Jan Bamert and Marco Bürki are suspended. On goals, the model puts both teams scoring at 59.67%. It gives over 2.5 goals 60.51% and over 3.5 goals 39.21%. It rates over 1.5 goals at 81.23% and over 4.5 at 24.61%. These are probabilities, not certainties, and a match with this profile could still go either way.