Thun vs Hearts Prediction & Tips

Europa Conference League • Round 3

Thun

Hearts

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 17:45 UTC

Stockhorn Arena

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 39% 8 bookmakers Model 43%

Probability Distribution Home (34%) / Draw (23%) / Away (43%)

Hearts win (2) 43%

2.62 OddScore Pick

Thun win (1) 34%

2.55

Draw (X) 23%

3.87

Probability Distribution Yes — 60% | No — 40%

Both teams to score — Yes 60%

1.47

Both teams to score — No 40%

2.63

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 59% | Under — 41%

Over 2.5 goals 59%

1.55

Under 2.5 goals 41%

2.40

Both teams to score Yes — 60% vs No — 40% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 59% vs Under — 41% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 43% | Market: 37% +18.2% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Hearts win in this fixture, with a confidence of 43%. Thun come into this one having taken 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 0.89 expected goals for and 1.76 against.

Hearts arrive with 0-3-2 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. At the current price of 2.62 that leaves a 18.2% edge over the market.

Thun Form

Oct 22 Hajduk Split 0 - 1 L

Oct 15 FC Twente 0 - 1 L

Aug 27 Lech Poznań 2 - 2 D

Aug 20 Lech Poznań 0 - 7 L

Aug 13 Víkingur Reykjavík 2 - 3 L

Hearts Form

Oct 22 Trabzonspor 0 - 2 L

Oct 15 Nordsjælland 1 - 1 D

Aug 20 SK Rapid 2 - 2 D

Aug 13 Benfica 1 - 1 D

Aug 6 Benfica 1 - 6 L

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Thun Hearts

0.89

xG per match

1.15

1.76

xG against

1.32

Shots per match

15.7

40.5

Possession, %

40.7

Goals this season

Both teams scored, %

66.67

Over 2.5, %

33.33