Torino vs Monza Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 8
Torino
Torino
versus
Monza
Monza
Friday, 23 October 2026 — 18:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 45% 17 bookmakers Model 43%
Probability Distribution Home (43%) / Draw (26%) / Away (31%)
Torino win (1) 43%
2.19 OddScore Pick
Monza win (2) 31%
3.70
Draw (X) 26%
3.60
Probability Distribution Yes — 56% | No — 44%
Both teams to score — Yes 56%
1.66
Both teams to score — No 44%
2.30
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 53% | Under — 47%
Over 2.5 goals 53%
1.97
Under 2.5 goals 47%
2.07
Both teams to score Yes — 56% vs No — 44% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 53% vs Under — 47% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 43% | Market: 45% -5.5% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Torino host Monza in Round 8 of Serie A, with the model leaning towards the home side without making them clear favourites. Torino are given a 42.6% chance of winning, against 25.98% for a draw and 31.44% for a Monza win. Torino sit 10th after seven matches with three wins, one draw and three defeats, and a goal record of 10 scored and 9 conceded. Monza are 14th with two wins, one draw and four defeats, and their goals read 13 for and 15 against.

Both teams have been involved in open games. Monza have seen both teams score in 85.71% of their matches and more than 2.5 goals in 85.71%. Torino's figures are 71.43% for each. The model puts both teams scoring at 55.54% and no at 44.46%. On totals, it gives over 1.5 goals 76.15%, over 2.5 goals 52.59%, over 3.5 goals 29.95% and over 4.5 goals 16.78%. The 2.5-goal line is therefore close to even, with a slight lean towards the over. The best available bookmaker prices for Torino, the draw and Monza are 2.2, 3.6 and 3.52, and the over 2.5 goals price is 2.02.

Both squads are short of players. Torino are without Adam Masina, Cesare Casadei, Ché Adams, Emirhan İlkhan, Franco Israel, Giovanni Simeone, Niccolò Fortini and Zanos Savva, all injured. Monza have a longer list. Alessio Cragno, Cyril Ngonge, Danilo D'Ambrosio, Exequiel Zeballos, Gustavo Varela, Jan Ziolkowski, Leonardo Colombo, Matteo Pessina, Patrick Ciurria, Patrick Cutrone and Warren Bondo are injured, and Lorenzo Lucchesi and Pedro Obiang are suspended. The last meeting was a 2:0 Torino win away at Monza on 2025-03-02, and the one before it was a 1:1 draw in Turin. These are probabilities rather than certainties, and the result could still go either way.

Torino Form

Oct 27 Como 1 - 3 L
Oct 23 Monza 3 - 2 W
Oct 19 Parma 3 - 0 W
Oct 12 Udinese 2 - 1 W
Sep 19 Bologna 1 - 1 D

Monza Form

Oct 28 Napoli 1 - 4 L
Oct 23 Torino 2 - 3 L
Oct 19 Cagliari 4 - 0 W
Oct 11 Lazio 1 - 3 L
Sep 18 Sassuolo 2 - 1 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Mar 2, 2025 Monza 0 - 2 Torino U-Power Stadium
Nov 24, 2024 Torino 1 - 1 Monza Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Torino Monza
1.13
xG per match
1.4
1.5
xG against
1.48
10.7
Shots per match
13.2
48.3
Possession, %
43.7
14
Goals this season
16
77.78
Both teams scored, %
88.89
77.78
Over 2.5, %
88.89