Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Tips

Premier League • Round 9

Tottenham Hotspur

Crystal Palace

Saturday, 31 October 2026 — 17:30 UTC

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 60% 17 bookmakers Model 48%

Probability Distribution Home (48%) / Draw (25%) / Away (27%)

Tottenham Hotspur win (1) 48%

1.63 OddScore Pick

Crystal Palace win (2) 27%

5.64

Draw (X) 25%

4.50

Probability Distribution Yes — 57% | No — 43%

Both teams to score — Yes 57%

1.67

Both teams to score — No 43%

2.25

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 56% | Under — 45%

Over 2.5 goals 56%

1.69

Under 2.5 goals 45%

2.36

Both teams to score Yes — 57% vs No — 43% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 56% vs Under — 45% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 48% | Market: 60% -19.6% Edge

Bet now

⇄ Why the estimates differ

The gap could reflect different weighting of Tottenham’s mixed evidence. Their recent results include two wins, but also two draws and a home defeat, while their season record has more losses than wins, a negative goal difference, low attacking xG, and higher defensive than attacking xG. The six unavailable players may also reduce the model’s expected strength. Recent head-to-head results further show Crystal Palace winning three of the last four meetings.

The bookmaker estimate may be influenced by the contrast between Tottenham playing at home and Crystal Palace’s weaker season record, lower table position, negative goal difference, and higher defensive xG against. Palace also have seven unavailable players, including several suspended or injured defenders and attackers. Their recent run contains three defeats, including a heavy loss, despite a higher attacking xG per match than Tottenham. These factors provide plausible reasons for the estimates to differ in emphasis and margin.

Gap of 11.8 percentage points.

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Tottenham Hotspur host Crystal Palace in Premier League round 9, with kick-off scheduled for 17:30 UTC on 31 October 2026. Tottenham are 14th after eight matches, with two wins, three draws and three defeats, and a goal record of 8:10. Palace are 17th, also with two wins, but one draw and five defeats, having scored nine goals and conceded 19. Tottenham’s matches have seen both teams score in 37.5% of cases and exceeded 2.5 goals in 37.5%, compared with 50% and 62.5% respectively for Palace.

The model gives Tottenham a 48.32% probability of winning, while the draw is rated at 25.62% and a Palace win at 26.09%. It assigns a 57.78% probability to both teams scoring and 55.84% to more than 2.5 goals. The recent head-to-head record has been mixed but leans towards Palace: they won 3-1 away in March 2026 and 2-0 away in May 2025, while Tottenham won 1-0 in December 2025. Palace will be without Axel Disasi, Ben Chilwell, Chadi Riad, Ismaïla Sarr, Jean-Philippe Mateta, Rob Holding and Takehiro Tomiyasu. Tottenham are missing James Maddison, Jan Paul van Hecke, Mykhaylo Mudryk, Wilson Odobert, Wilson Serge Eric Odobert and Xavi Simons.

Tottenham Hotspur Form

Oct 24 Chelsea 2 - 0 W

Oct 19 Coventry City 3 - 1 W

Oct 10 Manchester United 1 - 1 D

Sep 19 Aston Villa 2 - 3 L

Sep 12 Everton 0 - 0 D

Crystal Palace Form

Oct 25 Newcastle United 0 - 2 L

Oct 22 Beşiktaş 2 - 2 D

Oct 18 Brighton & Hove Albion 0 - 5 L

Oct 15 Olympique Lyonnais 2 - 3 L

Oct 11 Nottingham Forest 3 - 1 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Mar 5, 2026 Tottenham Hotspur 1 - 3 Crystal Palace Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Dec 28, 2025 Crystal Palace 0 - 1 Tottenham Hotspur Selhurst Park

May 11, 2025 Tottenham Hotspur 0 - 2 Crystal Palace Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Oct 27, 2024 Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur Selhurst Park

Bet now

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Tottenham Hotspur Crystal Palace

1.1

xG per match

1.24

1.37

xG against

2.07

14.4

Shots per match

60.6

Possession, %

44.5

Goals this season

37.5

Both teams scored, %

37.5

Over 2.5, %

62.5